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Washington Capitals

How the Capitals play under each ref or ref crew

Every Capitals game grouped by individual official, or by the same four officials on the ice. Over this sample the Capitals are 221-199 (52.6%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Jul 7, 2026, 4:50 p.m.Capitals record: 221-199 (52.6%)

Notable patterns

  • Whistle pattern

    Crews with Jake Brenk, Francis Charron, Matt MacPherson, and Shandor Alphonso whistle opponents 1.8 more minor penalties per game than the Capitals in the Capitals matchups (13 games).

    13 games in sample

    Jake Brenk profile →

  • Scoring pattern

    In the Capitals games with Chris Lee, contests average 7.4 combined goals (+0.1 vs league), 68.9% finish over the 7.3-goal benchmark across 90 games.

    90 games in sample

    Chris Lee profile →

Ghislain Hebert

5 games with the Capitals · ~4-1

Win rate

80.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

+27.4 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

40.0% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Peter MacDougall

20 games with the Capitals · ~15-5

Win rate

75.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

+22.4 pts vs team
Totals

7.5 avg

60.0% over 7.3

+0.2 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.7

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Trevor Hanson

36 games with the Capitals · ~25-11

Win rate

69.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

+16.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

61.1% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.2

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Bryan Pancich

63 games with the Capitals · ~40-23

Win rate

63.5%

Team baseline 52.6%

+10.9 pts vs team
Totals

7.1 avg

60.3% over 7.3

-0.2 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jean Hebert

46 games with the Capitals · ~29-17

Win rate

63.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

+10.4 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

65.2% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.3

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Matt MacPherson

101 games with the Capitals · ~63-38

Win rate

62.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

+9.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.1 avg

64.4% over 7.3

-0.2 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jon McIsaac

48 games with the Capitals · ~29-19

Win rate

60.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

+7.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.6 avg

64.6% over 7.3

+0.3 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.8

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Chris Lee

90 games with the Capitals · ~54-36

Win rate

60.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

+7.4 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

68.9% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.5

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

TJ Luxmore

32 games with the Capitals · ~19-13

Win rate

59.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

+6.8 pts vs team
Totals

6.9 avg

46.9% over 7.3

-0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

David Brisebois

17 games with the Capitals · ~10-7

Win rate

58.8%

Team baseline 52.6%

+6.2 pts vs team
Totals

7.6 avg

58.8% over 7.3

+0.3 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.0

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Derek Nansen

66 games with the Capitals · ~38-28

Win rate

57.6%

Team baseline 52.6%

+5.0 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

57.6% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Michel Cormier

63 games with the Capitals · ~35-28

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 52.6%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

61.9% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.3

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brad Kovachik

67 games with the Capitals · ~36-31

Win rate

53.7%

Team baseline 52.6%

+1.1 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

59.7% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Chris Rooney

47 games with the Capitals · ~25-22

Win rate

53.2%

Team baseline 52.6%

+0.6 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

53.2% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.7

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brandon Gawryletz

34 games with the Capitals · ~18-16

Win rate

52.9%

Team baseline 52.6%

+0.3 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

50.0% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.5

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Steve Kozari

19 games with the Capitals · ~10-9

Win rate

52.6%

Team baseline 52.6%

+0.0 pts vs team
Totals

6.8 avg

52.6% over 7.3

-0.5 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Eric Furlatt

63 games with the Capitals · ~33-30

Win rate

52.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

-0.2 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

63.5% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.9

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kiel Murchison

56 games with the Capitals · ~29-27

Win rate

51.8%

Team baseline 52.6%

-0.8 pts vs team
Totals

6.9 avg

60.7% over 7.3

-0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Tom Chmielewski

33 games with the Capitals · ~17-16

Win rate

51.5%

Team baseline 52.6%

-1.1 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

63.6% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Mark Shewchyk

74 games with the Capitals · ~38-36

Win rate

51.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

-1.2 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

68.9% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Wes McCauley

39 games with the Capitals · ~20-19

Win rate

51.3%

Team baseline 52.6%

-1.3 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

71.8% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Shandor Alphonso

28 games with the Capitals · ~14-14

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

-2.6 pts vs team
Totals

7 avg

67.9% over 7.3

-0.3 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Graham Skilliter

28 games with the Capitals · ~14-14

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

-2.6 pts vs team
Totals

7.5 avg

71.4% over 7.3

+0.2 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Steve Barton

14 games with the Capitals · ~7-7

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

-2.6 pts vs team
Totals

7.1 avg

57.1% over 7.3

-0.2 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Gord Dwyer

14 games with the Capitals · ~7-7

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

-2.6 pts vs team
Totals

6.6 avg

28.6% over 7.3

-0.7 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ryan Gibbons

10 games with the Capitals · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

-2.6 pts vs team
Totals

7 avg

70.0% over 7.3

-0.3 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

WSH tendency

Francis Charron

71 games with the Capitals · ~34-37

Win rate

47.9%

Team baseline 52.6%

-4.7 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

70.4% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.6

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kelly Sutherland

46 games with the Capitals · ~22-24

Win rate

47.8%

Team baseline 52.6%

-4.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

65.2% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Scott Cherrey

77 games with the Capitals · ~36-41

Win rate

46.8%

Team baseline 52.6%

-5.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

57.1% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Garrett Rank

15 games with the Capitals · ~7-8

Win rate

46.7%

Team baseline 52.6%

-5.9 pts vs team
Totals

6.9 avg

60.0% over 7.3

-0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dan O'Rourke

15 games with the Capitals · ~7-8

Win rate

46.7%

Team baseline 52.6%

-5.9 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

40.0% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.7

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brian Pochmara

28 games with the Capitals · ~13-15

Win rate

46.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

-6.2 pts vs team
Totals

6.9 avg

57.1% over 7.3

-0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jake Brenk

48 games with the Capitals · ~22-26

Win rate

45.8%

Team baseline 52.6%

-6.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

70.8% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jonny Murray

36 games with the Capitals · ~16-20

Win rate

44.4%

Team baseline 52.6%

-8.2 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

69.4% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.5

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Devin Berg

32 games with the Capitals · ~14-18

Win rate

43.8%

Team baseline 52.6%

-8.8 pts vs team
Totals

7.7 avg

75.0% over 7.3

+0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kyle Rehman

46 games with the Capitals · ~20-26

Win rate

43.5%

Team baseline 52.6%

-9.1 pts vs team
Totals

6.9 avg

63.0% over 7.3

-0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.2

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Trent Knorr

51 games with the Capitals · ~22-29

Win rate

43.1%

Team baseline 52.6%

-9.5 pts vs team
Totals

7.4 avg

74.5% over 7.3

+0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Bevan Mills

12 games with the Capitals · ~5-7

Win rate

41.7%

Team baseline 52.6%

-10.9 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

58.3% over 7.3

+0.0 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ryan Daisy

39 games with the Capitals · ~16-23

Win rate

41.0%

Team baseline 52.6%

-11.6 pts vs team
Totals

7.6 avg

76.9% over 7.3

+0.3 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.3

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Frederick L'Ecuyer

36 games with the Capitals · ~12-24

Win rate

33.3%

Team baseline 52.6%

-19.3 pts vs team
Totals

7.2 avg

75.0% over 7.3

-0.1 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Furman South

15 games with the Capitals · ~4-11

Win rate

26.7%

Team baseline 52.6%

-25.9 pts vs team
Totals

7.7 avg

73.3% over 7.3

+0.4 vs league
Whistle differentialAverage fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.0

More fouls on the Capitals's opponents when positive

Balanced

Late-game proxy

How Washington Capitals compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. Proxy windowsA competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.

Overtime / shootout games

Games that required extra time; the clearest late-game pressure proxy in our logs. Includes OT and SO scoring.

111 of 420 games match this window

Derived from historical game logs · proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricOvertime / shootout gamesFull gameΔ vs full
Avg combined goals7.87.3+0.5
Avg PIM15.615.1+0.5
Over rate43.2%40.0%+3.2 pts

Over benchmark: 7.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 420 total games in sample

One-goal or OT games

Regulation one-goal games plus any overtime, competitive games where third-period whistles matter most.

214 of 420 games match this window

Derived from historical game logs · proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricOne-goal or OT gamesFull gameΔ vs full
Avg combined goals7.57.3+0.2
Avg PIM15.115.1+0.0
Over rate37.4%40.0%-2.6 pts

Over benchmark: 7.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 420 total games in sample

What am I looking at?
  • Individual refs: stats for one official across all Capitals games they worked, even with different partners.
  • Ref crews: stats when the same four officials worked together on the Capitals games (5+ games shown by default).
  • Team baseline: the Capitals went 221-199 (52.6%) across this sample. Ref and crew win rates show how they compare to that team average.
  • Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Capitals.

Historical stats are still loading for some teams; check back after the next data refresh.

League-wide ref profiles

Matt MacPherson61.2% over 7.3Mark Shewchyk62.5% over 7.3Francis Charron61.9% over 7.3Michel Cormier62.4% over 7.3Chris Lee62.3% over 7.3Scott Cherrey59.1% over 7.3Derek Nansen62.9% over 7.3Eric Furlatt60.5% over 7.3Kiel Murchison62.8% over 7.3Brad Kovachik59.7% over 7.3Kyle Rehman61.8% over 7.3Bryan Pancich62.2% over 7.3