NHL10/06
Ref×team split · N=8
Washington Capitals
How the Capitals play under each referee
Every Capitals game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Capitals are 442-339 (56.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Standout team-official split
The strongest verified team-official win-rate pattern for the Capitals in the current sample.
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (1527) exceed 781 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
Late-game proxy
How Washington Capitals compares in one-goal and overtime games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Overtime / shootout games
173 of 781 games match this window
Avg combined goals
- OT/shootout avg
- 6.5
- Season avg
- 6.2
- Pressure impact
- +0.3
Avg minors
- OT/shootout avg
- 15.7
- Season avg
- 17.5
- Pressure impact
- -1.8
Over rate
- OT/shootout avg
- 55.5%
- Season avg
- 46.0%
- Pressure impact
- +9.5 pp
Over benchmark: 6.2 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 781 total games in sample
One-goal or OT games
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Capitals games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Capitals went 442-339 (56.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Capitals.
Scores, PIM, and crews from NHL API. ATS/O-U from synthetic closing lines derived from final scores (12282/12282 games). Descriptive only, not market odds. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.