Jon McIsaac
#2General stats
Closing lineThe spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark.The spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark. Records use per-game closing lines where available.
- Games
- 660
- Home team W/LStraight-up wins and losses for the home team in games this ref worked; who won, ignoring the spread.Straight-up wins and losses for the home team in games this ref worked; who won, ignoring the spread.
- 338-322
- 51.2%
- Home team ATSAgainst the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover.Against the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover.
- 329-331
- 49.8%
- Avg home score
- 3.7
- Avg road score
- 3.6
- Home avg marginAverage home score minus away score in this ref’s games; positive means home teams outscored visitors on average.Average home score minus away score in this ref’s games; positive means home teams outscored visitors on average.
- 0
- Avg total score
- 7.3
- +0.1 vs league
- Fouls per game
- 15.3
- +0.3 vs league
- Over rate (225 proxy)Share of this crew’s games where combined scoring beat the benchmark (225 when no sportsbook total is available).Share of this crew’s games where combined scoring beat the benchmark (225 when no sportsbook total is available).
- 62.9%
Over / underDid both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off?Did both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off?
| Line rangeGames grouped by what the closing total was (e.g. 220–229.5). Shows how often the actual score went over that line in each bucket.Games grouped by what the closing total was (e.g. 220–229.5). Shows how often the actual score went over that line in each bucket. | Record | Hit rateWin percentage for that record (wins ÷ all decisions, including pushes where listed).Win percentage for that record (wins ÷ all decisions, including pushes where listed). |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 415-245 | 62.9% |
| Under 5.5 | - | - |
| 5.5–6.5 | 85-64 | 57.0% |
| 6.5–7.5 | 122-50 | 70.9% |
| 7.5+ | 208-131 | 61.4% |
Spread: home favorite / underdogThe same ATS record broken into groups, by spread size and by whether the home team was the favorite or underdog.The same ATS record broken into groups, by spread size and by whether the home team was the favorite or underdog.
| Spread | Home favWhen the home team was the favorite (negative spread), how often did they cover ATS?When the home team was the favorite (negative spread), how often did they cover ATS? | Home dogWhen the home team was the underdog (positive spread), how often did they cover ATS?When the home team was the underdog (positive spread), how often did they cover ATS? |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1.5 | 138-86 | 75-134 |
| 1.5–3.5 | 59-58 | 57-53 |
| 3.5+ | - | - |
Whistle analyticsReferee-only metrics from game logs: minors, OT rate, and penalty-balance tendency. Linesmen are excluded.Referee-only metrics from game logs: minors, OT rate, and penalty-balance tendency. Linesmen are excluded.
Referee-only sample; linesmen excluded from minor and balance metrics.
- Minors per gameAverage two-minute minor penalties assessed in this referee’s games (both teams combined). More accurate than raw PIM for whistle tightness.Average two-minute minor penalties assessed in this referee’s games (both teams combined). More accurate than raw PIM for whistle tightness.
- 7.7
- +0.2 vs 7.5 league
- OT rateShare of this referee’s games that reached overtime or a shootout. League average is roughly 23%.Share of this referee’s games that reached overtime or a shootout. League average is roughly 23%.
- 23.2%
- 153 OT/SO · league 23.2%
- Penalty balanceHow evenly minors are split between teams. A “balancer” ref often finishes within one minor of even; descriptive only, not a live makeup-call predictor.How evenly minors are split between teams. A “balancer” ref often finishes within one minor of even; descriptive only, not a live makeup-call predictor.
- neutral
- 60.9% within ±1 minor · avg gap 1.4
Penalty balance sits near league norms.
Late-game proxy
How Jon McIsaac compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. Proxy windowsA competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
Overtime / shootout games
Games that required extra time; the clearest late-game pressure proxy in our logs. Includes OT and SO scoring.
153 of 660 games match this window
Derived from historical game logs · proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Overtime / shootout games | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined goals | 7.9 | 7.3 | +0.6 |
| Avg PIM | 15.5 | 15.3 | +0.2 |
| Over rate | 43.8% | 41.7% | +2.1 pts |
Over benchmark: 7.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 660 total games in sample
One-goal or OT games
Regulation one-goal games plus any overtime, competitive games where third-period whistles matter most.
311 of 660 games match this window
Derived from historical game logs · proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | One-goal or OT games | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined goals | 7.4 | 7.3 | +0.1 |
| Avg PIM | 15.4 | 15.3 | +0.1 |
| Over rate | 35.7% | 41.7% | -6.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 7.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 660 total games in sample
How to read this profile
ATSAgainst the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover.Against the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover. and Over / underDid both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off?Did both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off? tables use closing linesThe spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark.The spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark. per game. Where sportsbook closing lines are unavailable, ATS/O/U splits use estimated lines. Team PIM splits live on team pages. Tonight's assignment signals are on the NHL home page.
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