NFL

NFL refereeing stats, analyzed.

Analytics and intelligence, bias modeling for the 3rd team on the field.

Stats updated Aug 22, 2026, 6:15 p.m.

Upcoming games

NFL live slate (3 live · 7 scheduled). Scores and crews refresh automatically.

NFLNo games on 2026-08-22; next pre-season slate is 2026-08-20.

Tonight

Aug 22

ATL17

IND6

Live

Comparable-game read · Updates until tip-off freeze is captured

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

107 similar games

Points in similar games

46.2

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈Near NFL average

Flags in similar games

12.4

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈Near NFL average

Similar past games averaged 46.2 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

56.7%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 107 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Aug 22

BAL3

MIN0

Live

Comparable-game read · Updates until tip-off freeze is captured

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

117 similar games

Points in similar games

45.1

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈0.9 fewer points than NFL average

Flags in similar games

12.5

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈Near NFL average

Similar past games averaged 45.1 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

55.4%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 117 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Aug 22

4:00 PM EDT

LAR

Crew announced

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

102 similar games

Points in similar games

46.0

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈Near NFL average

Flags in similar games

11.9

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈0.6 fewer flags than NFL average

Similar past games averaged 46.0 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

55.8%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 102 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Aug 22

4:00 PM EDT

NYG

MIA

Crew announced

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

122 similar games

Points in similar games

45.0

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈1 fewer points than NFL average

Flags in similar games

12.2

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈Near NFL average

Similar past games averaged 45.0 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

55.2%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 122 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Crews not yet announced

Aug 22

7:00 PM EDT

CHI

CIN

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 22

7:00 PM EDT

PHI

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 22

7:30 PM EDT

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 22

10:00 PM EDT

DAL

ARI

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 23

8:00 PM EDT

SEA

TEN

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Recently completed

Aug 20

LV22

HOU20

Final

LV 22, HOU 20

Projection reviewLower scoring than projected (42 vs ~46.2 expected)Pregame estimate ~46.2 total points (-4.2 vs actual)Finished below the pregame total estimate

Aug 20

SF41

LAC17

Final

SF 41, LAC 17

Projection reviewHigher scoring than projected (58 vs ~45.7 expected)Pregame estimate ~45.7 total points (+12.3 vs actual)Finished above the pregame total estimate

Aug 21

NYJ17

PIT0

Final

NYJ 17, PIT 0

Projection reviewLower scoring than projected (17 vs ~45.4 expected)Pregame estimate ~45.4 total points (-28.4 vs actual)Finished below the pregame total estimate

Aug 21

CAR34

JAX17

Final

CAR 34, JAX 17

Projection reviewHigher scoring than projected (51 vs ~45.9 expected)Pregame estimate ~45.9 total points (+5.1 vs actual)Finished above the pregame total estimate

Aug 21

GB33

DEN13

Final

GB 33, DEN 13

Projection reviewTotal points landed near the pregame estimate (46 vs ~45.8)Pregame estimate ~45.8 total points (+0.2 vs actual)Finished above the pregame total estimate

Assignments last checked Aug 22, 2026

Live crew assignments return when the NFL week publishes.

League pulse

Highest-confidence anomalies in the current sample.

Notable
Whistle
Alex Moore
Highest whistle bias
+4.9
Flags delta
17.2 flags/game, +4.9 vs league average.
Notable
Over / under
Tony Steratore
Extreme O/U divergence
73.8%
O/U hit %
Games with this official most often finish over the listed total. Past tendency, not a forecast.
Notable
Over / under
Steve Freeman
Strongest over lean
75.7%
Over benchmark
Games officiated by Steve Freeman clear the 44.2 points benchmark threshold 75.7% of the time - the highest over rate in this qualified sample.

Official spotlights

Referees trending on high-variance whistle, scoring, and split data.

Notable
Scoring
Jeff Triplette
Biggest scoring bump
+4.5 PTS
Scoring delta vs avg
Games officiated by Jeff Triplette have averaged 4.5 more combined points than the league average.
Notable
Market
Michael Spanier
Strongest home ATS track record
64.7%
Home ATS
Home teams cover the spread most often in this sample. Descriptive history only, not a pick signal.
Notable
Scoring
Buddy Horton
Biggest scoring dip
-5.7 PTS
Scoring delta vs avg
Games officiated by Buddy Horton have averaged 5.7 fewer combined points than the league average.
Notable
Over / under
Robin DeLorenzo
Lowest historical over-rate vs baseline
41.9%
Under benchmark
Games officiated by Robin DeLorenzo clear the 44.2 points benchmark threshold only 41.9% of the time - the lowest over rate in this qualified sample.

Unusual officiating signals

Sample-gated research patterns from the dataset. Distinct from pulse rankings and tonight's slate lean cards. Ref×team standout cards and ranked findings fill the pool below.

2016-2026

NFL09/09

Whistle outlier

flags per game: 15
Over benchmark: 67.3%

NFL09/09

League pattern

Home ATS: 18-12
Sample: 30

NFL09/09

Whistle outlier

Scoring delta: +3.7
Over benchmark: 63.2%

NFL09/09

Whistle outlier

Under benchmark: 44.8%
Delta vs baseline: -0.5 total points

Super Bowl officiating

27 championship games since 2000: referee assignments, scoring extremes, and title-game context.

Source: Football Zebras / NFL official Super Bowl referee records (SB XXXIV–LX, 2000–2026)

Total penalties
20
+8 vs avg
Ed Hochuli
Refereed Super Bowl XXXVIII
View Profile
Total penalties
6
-6 vs avg
Ronald Torbert
Refereed Super Bowl LVI
View Profile
Total points
74
+28 vs avg
Gene Steratore
Refereed Super Bowl LII
View Profile
Total points
16
-30 vs avg
John Parry
Refereed Super Bowl LIII
View Profile

Official analytics leaders

ESPN-verified penalty and scoring splits, descriptive tendencies, not picks.

Whistle
Alex Moore#124 · 45 games
Highest game flags environment
17.2 flags/game
+39.2%
vs league avg
Games with Alex Moore averaged 17.2 combined flags per game
Whistle
Alex Moore#124 · 45 games
Penalty yards
133.6 yards/game
+30.4%
vs league avg
Alex Moore posts the heaviest yardage pace in the sample window.
Leverage
Barry Anderson#20 · 170 games
Highest leverage impact
+8.7 vs league
Highest leverage impact
16.9 impact/game
Scoring
Wayne Mackie17 games
Combined points
50.4 points/game
+10.4%
vs league avg
Wayne Mackie runs the hottest combined scoring pace in the sample window.
Over / under
Jeff Triplette31 games
Most overs vs baseline
77.4% over rate
Most overs vs baseline
Over 44.2 pts benchmark
Team split
Bob Waggoner16 games
Most balanced flag splits
asymmetric
Most balanced flag splits
asymmetric · 56% within 1 flag

Historical tendencies only, with sample gates, confidence tiers, and transparent methodology. Not betting advice.

NFL

NFL refereeing stats, analyzed.

Analytics and intelligence, bias modeling for the 3rd team on the field.

Stats updated Aug 22, 2026, 6:15 p.m.

Upcoming games

NFL live slate (3 live · 7 scheduled). Scores and crews refresh automatically.

NFLNo games on 2026-08-22; next pre-season slate is 2026-08-20.

Tonight

Aug 22

ATL17

IND6

Live

Comparable-game read · Updates until tip-off freeze is captured

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

107 similar games

Points in similar games

46.2

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈Near NFL average

Flags in similar games

12.4

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈Near NFL average

Similar past games averaged 46.2 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

56.7%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 107 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Aug 22

BAL3

MIN0

Live

Comparable-game read · Updates until tip-off freeze is captured

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

117 similar games

Points in similar games

45.1

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈0.9 fewer points than NFL average

Flags in similar games

12.5

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈Near NFL average

Similar past games averaged 45.1 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

55.4%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 117 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Aug 22

4:00 PM EDT

LAR

Crew announced

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

102 similar games

Points in similar games

46.0

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈Near NFL average

Flags in similar games

11.9

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈0.6 fewer flags than NFL average

Similar past games averaged 46.0 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

55.8%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 102 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Aug 22

4:00 PM EDT

NYG

MIA

Crew announced

Scoring looks near the league average

Similar games

122 similar games

Points in similar games

45.0

total points per game

NFL average 46.0

≈1 fewer points than NFL average

Flags in similar games

12.2

flags per game

NFL average 12.5

≈Near NFL average

Similar past games averaged 45.0 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.

How often similar games finished over the closing total

55.2%

About 1 in 2 similar games

Officiating crew announced

Strong evidenceStrong evidence. Based on 122 comparable games.

How reliable is this projection?

30% of the last 50 flags projections finished within 2 flags of the estimate

Ref Watch tracks how often pregame flags estimates land near the final total. This is one input, not a promise about tonight.

Sample window: last 50 scored games
League: NFL
Metric: Flags
Test scope: Uses the assigned lead official only
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026

Crews not yet announced

Aug 22

7:00 PM EDT

CHI

CIN

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 22

7:00 PM EDT

PHI

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 22

7:30 PM EDT

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 22

10:00 PM EDT

DAL

ARI

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Aug 23

8:00 PM EDT

SEA

TEN

Crew not announced

Historical matchup context

Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.

Historical context

Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.

Recently completed

Aug 20

LV22

HOU20

Final

LV 22, HOU 20

Projection reviewLower scoring than projected (42 vs ~46.2 expected)Pregame estimate ~46.2 total points (-4.2 vs actual)Finished below the pregame total estimate

Aug 20

SF41

LAC17

Final

SF 41, LAC 17

Projection reviewHigher scoring than projected (58 vs ~45.7 expected)Pregame estimate ~45.7 total points (+12.3 vs actual)Finished above the pregame total estimate

Aug 21

NYJ17

PIT0

Final

NYJ 17, PIT 0

Projection reviewLower scoring than projected (17 vs ~45.4 expected)Pregame estimate ~45.4 total points (-28.4 vs actual)Finished below the pregame total estimate

Aug 21

CAR34

JAX17

Final

CAR 34, JAX 17

Projection reviewHigher scoring than projected (51 vs ~45.9 expected)Pregame estimate ~45.9 total points (+5.1 vs actual)Finished above the pregame total estimate

Aug 21

GB33

DEN13

Final

GB 33, DEN 13

Projection reviewTotal points landed near the pregame estimate (46 vs ~45.8)Pregame estimate ~45.8 total points (+0.2 vs actual)Finished above the pregame total estimate

Assignments last checked Aug 22, 2026

Live crew assignments return when the NFL week publishes.

League pulse

Highest-confidence anomalies in the current sample.

Notable
Whistle
Alex Moore
Highest whistle bias
+4.9
Flags delta
17.2 flags/game, +4.9 vs league average.
Notable
Over / under
Tony Steratore
Extreme O/U divergence
73.8%
O/U hit %
Games with this official most often finish over the listed total. Past tendency, not a forecast.
Notable
Over / under
Steve Freeman
Strongest over lean
75.7%
Over benchmark
Games officiated by Steve Freeman clear the 44.2 points benchmark threshold 75.7% of the time - the highest over rate in this qualified sample.

Official spotlights

Referees trending on high-variance whistle, scoring, and split data.

Notable
Scoring
Jeff Triplette
Biggest scoring bump
+4.5 PTS
Scoring delta vs avg
Games officiated by Jeff Triplette have averaged 4.5 more combined points than the league average.
Notable
Market
Michael Spanier
Strongest home ATS track record
64.7%
Home ATS
Home teams cover the spread most often in this sample. Descriptive history only, not a pick signal.
Notable
Scoring
Buddy Horton
Biggest scoring dip
-5.7 PTS
Scoring delta vs avg
Games officiated by Buddy Horton have averaged 5.7 fewer combined points than the league average.
Notable
Over / under
Robin DeLorenzo
Lowest historical over-rate vs baseline
41.9%
Under benchmark
Games officiated by Robin DeLorenzo clear the 44.2 points benchmark threshold only 41.9% of the time - the lowest over rate in this qualified sample.

Unusual officiating signals

Sample-gated research patterns from the dataset. Distinct from pulse rankings and tonight's slate lean cards. Ref×team standout cards and ranked findings fill the pool below.

2016-2026

NFL09/09

Whistle outlier

flags per game: 15
Over benchmark: 67.3%

NFL09/09

League pattern

Home ATS: 18-12
Sample: 30

NFL09/09

Whistle outlier

Scoring delta: +3.7
Over benchmark: 63.2%

NFL09/09

Whistle outlier

Under benchmark: 44.8%
Delta vs baseline: -0.5 total points

Super Bowl officiating

27 championship games since 2000: referee assignments, scoring extremes, and title-game context.

Source: Football Zebras / NFL official Super Bowl referee records (SB XXXIV–LX, 2000–2026)

Total penalties
20
+8 vs avg
Ed Hochuli
Refereed Super Bowl XXXVIII
View Profile
Total penalties
6
-6 vs avg
Ronald Torbert
Refereed Super Bowl LVI
View Profile
Total points
74
+28 vs avg
Gene Steratore
Refereed Super Bowl LII
View Profile
Total points
16
-30 vs avg
John Parry
Refereed Super Bowl LIII
View Profile

Official analytics leaders

ESPN-verified penalty and scoring splits, descriptive tendencies, not picks.

Whistle
Alex Moore#124 · 45 games
Highest game flags environment
17.2 flags/game
+39.2%
vs league avg
Games with Alex Moore averaged 17.2 combined flags per game
Whistle
Alex Moore#124 · 45 games
Penalty yards
133.6 yards/game
+30.4%
vs league avg
Alex Moore posts the heaviest yardage pace in the sample window.
Leverage
Barry Anderson#20 · 170 games
Highest leverage impact
+8.7 vs league
Highest leverage impact
16.9 impact/game
Scoring
Wayne Mackie17 games
Combined points
50.4 points/game
+10.4%
vs league avg
Wayne Mackie runs the hottest combined scoring pace in the sample window.
Over / under
Jeff Triplette31 games
Most overs vs baseline
77.4% over rate
Most overs vs baseline
Over 44.2 pts benchmark
Team split
Bob Waggoner16 games
Most balanced flag splits
asymmetric
Most balanced flag splits
asymmetric · 56% within 1 flag

Historical tendencies only, with sample gates, confidence tiers, and transparent methodology. Not betting advice.

NFL refereeing stats, analyzed.

Upcoming games

Tonight

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Crews not yet announced

Recently completed

League pulse

Highest whistle bias

Extreme O/U divergence

Strongest over lean

Official spotlights

Biggest scoring bump

Strongest home ATS track record

Biggest scoring dip

Lowest historical over-rate vs baseline

Unusual officiating signals

Byron Boston runs 2.7 more flags than league average

Laird Hayes: most pronounced NFL officiating variance in the current homepage sample.

Mark Hittner runs +3.7 on combined scoring

Jimmy Russell: 44.8% under benchmark vs NFL baseline.

Super Bowl officiating

Official analytics leaders

Highest game flags environment

Penalty yards

Highest leverage impact

Combined points

Most overs vs baseline

Most balanced flag splits

NFL refereeing stats, analyzed.

Upcoming games

Tonight

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Similar games

Points in similar games

Flags in similar games

How reliable is this projection?

Crews not yet announced

Recently completed

League pulse

Highest whistle bias

Extreme O/U divergence

Strongest over lean

Official spotlights

Biggest scoring bump

Strongest home ATS track record

Biggest scoring dip

Lowest historical over-rate vs baseline

Unusual officiating signals

Byron Boston runs 2.7 more flags than league average

Laird Hayes: most pronounced NFL officiating variance in the current homepage sample.

Mark Hittner runs +3.7 on combined scoring

Jimmy Russell: 44.8% under benchmark vs NFL baseline.

Super Bowl officiating

Official analytics leaders