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Toronto Maple Leafs

How the Maple Leafs play under each referee

Every Maple Leafs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Maple Leafs are 440-342 (56.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 p.m.·2016-2026 (2016-10-12 – 2026-04-15)

Maple Leafs record: 440-342 (56.3%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (1538) exceed 782 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

Sort by

#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.

Reid Anderson
+32.6 pts vs team+0.3
Morgan MacPhee
+21.5 pts vs team-0.8
Ian Walsh
+16.4 pts vs team-0.3
Mitch Dunning
+15.1 pts vs team+0.0
Cody Beach
+13.7 pts vs team+0.9
Chris Rooney
+13.1 pts vs team+0.1
Kendrick Nicholson
+11.5 pts vs team-0.4
Trevor Hanson
+11.2 pts vs team+0.3
Brandon Schrader
+8.0 pts vs team-0.5
Gord Dwyer
+7.6 pts vs team-0.1
Garrett Rank
+5.2 pts vs team+0.3
Michael Markovic
+4.3 pts vs team-0.4
Kelly Sutherland
+4.2 pts vs team-0.1
Brian Pochmara
+4.1 pts vs team+0.0
Carter Sandlak
+3.7 pts vs team-0.3
Eric Furlatt
+3.3 pts vs team-0.1
Steve Kozari
+3.1 pts vs team+0.1
Dan O'Halloran
+2.5 pts vs team+0.1
Dean Morton
+2.0 pts vs team-0.4
Jake Brenk
+1.2 pts vs team-0.1
Kevin Pollock
+0.8 pts vs team-0.1
Marc Joannette
+0.8 pts vs team+0.2
Chris Schlenker
+0.5 pts vs team-0.2
Furman South
+0.2 pts vs team+0.0
Pierre Lambert
-0.4 pts vs team-0.6
Tom Chmielewski
-0.7 pts vs team+0.1
Chris Lee
-0.7 pts vs team+0.0
Frederick L'Ecuyer
-1.0 pts vs team+0.4
Ghislain Hebert
-1.8 pts vs team-0.3
Thomas John Luxmore
-2.8 pts vs team+0.0
Peter MacDougall
-3.0 pts vs team+0.1
Justin St. Pierre
-3.2 pts vs team-0.2
Tim Peel
-3.4 pts vs team+0.5
Jean Hebert
-3.9 pts vs team+0.2
Corey Syvret
-4.1 pts vs team+0.6
Brad Meier
-4.9 pts vs team+0.1
Graham Skilliter
-5.5 pts vs team-0.3
Jon McIsaac
-6.3 pts vs team+0.1
Tom Kowal
-6.3 pts vs team+1.1
Wes McCauley
-7.4 pts vs team+0.0
Francis Charron
-7.4 pts vs team+0.2
Dan O'Rourke
-7.7 pts vs team-0.2
Kyle Rehman
-9.1 pts vs team-0.2
Justin Kea
-12.5 pts vs team+0.2
Brad Watson
-14.6 pts vs team-0.5
Francois St-Laurent
-17.8 pts vs team+0.5
Beau Halkidis
-23.0 pts vs team+0.0
Brandon Blandina
-24.7 pts vs team+0.2

Late-game proxy

How Toronto Maple Leafs compares in one-goal and overtime games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Overtime / shootout games

181 of 782 games match this window

Avg combined goals
OT/shootout avg
6.3
Season avg
6.4
Pressure impact
-0.1
Avg minors
OT/shootout avg
15.2
Season avg
15.9
Pressure impact
-0.7
Over rate
OT/shootout avg
52.5%
Season avg
49.0%
Pressure impact
+3.5 pp

Over benchmark: 6.4 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample

One-goal or OT games

313 of 782 games match this window

Avg combined goals
One-goal/OT avg
6.1
Season avg
6.4
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
One-goal/OT avg
14.5
Season avg
15.9
Pressure impact
-1.4
Over rate
One-goal/OT avg
47.9%
Season avg
49.0%
Pressure impact
-1.1 pp

Over benchmark: 6.4 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Maple Leafs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Maple Leafs went 440-342 (56.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Maple Leafs.

Scores, PIM, and crews from NHL API. ATS/O-U from synthetic closing lines derived from final scores (12282/12282 games). Descriptive only, not market odds. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.