Every Maple Leafs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Maple Leafs are 440-342 (56.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (1538) exceed 782 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Toronto Maple Leafs compares in one-goal and overtime games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Overtime / shootout games
181 of 782 games match this window
Avg combined goals
OT/shootout avg
6.3
Season avg
6.4
Pressure impact
-0.1
Avg minors
OT/shootout avg
15.2
Season avg
15.9
Pressure impact
-0.7
Over rate
OT/shootout avg
52.5%
Season avg
49.0%
Pressure impact
+3.5 pp
Over benchmark: 6.4 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample
One-goal or OT games
313 of 782 games match this window
Avg combined goals
One-goal/OT avg
6.1
Season avg
6.4
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
One-goal/OT avg
14.5
Season avg
15.9
Pressure impact
-1.4
Over rate
One-goal/OT avg
47.9%
Season avg
49.0%
Pressure impact
-1.1 pp
Over benchmark: 6.4 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Maple Leafs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Maple Leafs went 440-342 (56.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Maple Leafs.
Scores, PIM, and crews from NHL API. ATS/O-U from synthetic closing lines derived from final scores (12282/12282 games). Descriptive only, not market odds. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Toronto Maple Leafs: NHL referee crew splits | Ref Watch