Tampa Bay Lightning

How the Lightning play under each referee

Every Lightning game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Lightning are 476-306 (60.9%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Thomas John Luxmore has the most Lightning games in this sample (60).

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2016-2026 (2016-10-13 – 2026-04-15)

Lightning record: 476-306 (60.9%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (1526) exceed 782 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

Sort by

Eric Furlatt
+19.7 pts vs team+0.2
Tim Peel
+14.1 pts vs team-0.1
Pierre Lambert
+13.5 pts vs team+0.1
Chris Schlenker
+11.8 pts vs team+0.2
Dan O'Rourke
+8.5 pts vs team-0.3
Ghislain Hebert
+8.5 pts vs team+0.1
Brandon Schrader
+8.3 pts vs team-1.8
Mitch Dunning
+7.1 pts vs team+0.5
Kyle Rehman
+5.8 pts vs team-0.5
Beau Halkidis
+5.8 pts vs team+0.2
Kendrick Nicholson
+5.1 pts vs team-0.1
Dean Morton
+4.5 pts vs team+0.5
Thomas John Luxmore
+4.1 pts vs team+0.2
Peter MacDougall
+3.8 pts vs team-0.4
Jean Hebert
+3.5 pts vs team-0.2
Kevin Pollock
+2.7 pts vs team+0.0
Justin St. Pierre
+2.7 pts vs team+0.4
Marc Joannette
+2.7 pts vs team+0.0
Kelly Sutherland
+2.6 pts vs team-0.2
Tom Chmielewski
+1.6 pts vs team+0.3
Tom Kowal
+1.6 pts vs team+0.6
Wes McCauley
+1.4 pts vs team-0.6
Francis Charron
+1.3 pts vs team-0.7
Carter Sandlak
-0.9 pts vs team-0.5
Brian Pochmara
-1.3 pts vs team-0.3
Jon McIsaac
-1.7 pts vs team-0.6
Trevor Hanson
-2.4 pts vs team-0.2
Brad Watson
-2.6 pts vs team-0.1
Furman South
-3.3 pts vs team+0.2
Justin Kea
-3.8 pts vs team+0.4
Frederick L'Ecuyer
-4.3 pts vs team-0.2
Chris Rooney
-4.4 pts vs team+0.2
Ian Walsh
-4.4 pts vs team-0.6
Brad Meier
-4.6 pts vs team-0.1
Jake Brenk
-6.4 pts vs team-0.3
Steve Kozari
-6.8 pts vs team+0.1
Gord Dwyer
-7.8 pts vs team+0.0
Dan O'Halloran
-8.0 pts vs team+0.1
Chris Lee
-8.3 pts vs team+0.1
Michael Markovic
-8.9 pts vs team-0.6
Brandon Blandina
-10.9 pts vs team-0.2
Garrett Rank
-12.0 pts vs team-0.1
Graham Skilliter
-14.0 pts vs team+0.4
Corey Syvret
-15.1 pts vs team-0.3
Cody Beach
-16.5 pts vs team+1.2
Francois St-Laurent
-19.4 pts vs team+0.2

Late-game proxy

How Tampa Bay Lightning compares in one-goal and overtime games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Overtime / shootout games

158 of 782 games match this window

Avg combined goals
OT/shootout avg
6
Season avg
6.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
OT/shootout avg
17.8
Season avg
21.3
Pressure impact
-3.5
Over rate
OT/shootout avg
51.9%
Season avg
47.6%
Pressure impact
+4.3 pp

Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample

One-goal or OT games

285 of 782 games match this window

Avg combined goals
One-goal/OT avg
6
Season avg
6.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
One-goal/OT avg
19.3
Season avg
21.3
Pressure impact
-2.0
Over rate
One-goal/OT avg
48.8%
Season avg
47.6%
Pressure impact
+1.2 pp

Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Lightning games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Lightning went 476-306 (60.9%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Lightning.

Scores, PIM, and crews from NHL API. ATS/O-U from synthetic closing lines derived from final scores (12282/12282 games). Descriptive only, not market odds. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Tampa Bay Lightning

How the Lightning play under each referee

Every Lightning game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Lightning are 476-306 (60.9%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Thomas John Luxmore has the most Lightning games in this sample (60).

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2016-2026 (2016-10-13 – 2026-04-15)

Lightning record: 476-306 (60.9%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (1526) exceed 782 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

Sort by

Eric Furlatt
+19.7 pts vs team+0.2
Tim Peel
+14.1 pts vs team-0.1
Pierre Lambert
+13.5 pts vs team+0.1
Chris Schlenker
+11.8 pts vs team+0.2
Dan O'Rourke
+8.5 pts vs team-0.3
Ghislain Hebert
+8.5 pts vs team+0.1
Brandon Schrader
+8.3 pts vs team-1.8
Mitch Dunning
+7.1 pts vs team+0.5
Kyle Rehman
+5.8 pts vs team-0.5
Beau Halkidis
+5.8 pts vs team+0.2
Kendrick Nicholson
+5.1 pts vs team-0.1
Dean Morton
+4.5 pts vs team+0.5
Thomas John Luxmore
+4.1 pts vs team+0.2
Peter MacDougall
+3.8 pts vs team-0.4
Jean Hebert
+3.5 pts vs team-0.2
Kevin Pollock
+2.7 pts vs team+0.0
Justin St. Pierre
+2.7 pts vs team+0.4
Marc Joannette
+2.7 pts vs team+0.0
Kelly Sutherland
+2.6 pts vs team-0.2
Tom Chmielewski
+1.6 pts vs team+0.3
Tom Kowal
+1.6 pts vs team+0.6
Wes McCauley
+1.4 pts vs team-0.6
Francis Charron
+1.3 pts vs team-0.7
Carter Sandlak
-0.9 pts vs team-0.5
Brian Pochmara
-1.3 pts vs team-0.3
Jon McIsaac
-1.7 pts vs team-0.6
Trevor Hanson
-2.4 pts vs team-0.2
Brad Watson
-2.6 pts vs team-0.1
Furman South
-3.3 pts vs team+0.2
Justin Kea
-3.8 pts vs team+0.4
Frederick L'Ecuyer
-4.3 pts vs team-0.2
Chris Rooney
-4.4 pts vs team+0.2
Ian Walsh
-4.4 pts vs team-0.6
Brad Meier
-4.6 pts vs team-0.1
Jake Brenk
-6.4 pts vs team-0.3
Steve Kozari
-6.8 pts vs team+0.1
Gord Dwyer
-7.8 pts vs team+0.0
Dan O'Halloran
-8.0 pts vs team+0.1
Chris Lee
-8.3 pts vs team+0.1
Michael Markovic
-8.9 pts vs team-0.6
Brandon Blandina
-10.9 pts vs team-0.2
Garrett Rank
-12.0 pts vs team-0.1
Graham Skilliter
-14.0 pts vs team+0.4
Corey Syvret
-15.1 pts vs team-0.3
Cody Beach
-16.5 pts vs team+1.2
Francois St-Laurent
-19.4 pts vs team+0.2

Late-game proxy

How Tampa Bay Lightning compares in one-goal and overtime games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Overtime / shootout games

158 of 782 games match this window

Avg combined goals
OT/shootout avg
6
Season avg
6.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
OT/shootout avg
17.8
Season avg
21.3
Pressure impact
-3.5
Over rate
OT/shootout avg
51.9%
Season avg
47.6%
Pressure impact
+4.3 pp

Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample

One-goal or OT games

285 of 782 games match this window

Avg combined goals
One-goal/OT avg
6
Season avg
6.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
One-goal/OT avg
19.3
Season avg
21.3
Pressure impact
-2.0
Over rate
One-goal/OT avg
48.8%
Season avg
47.6%
Pressure impact
+1.2 pp

Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Lightning games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Lightning went 476-306 (60.9%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Lightning.

Tampa Bay Lightning: NHL referee crew splits | Ref Watch