Every Lightning game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Lightning are 476-306 (60.9%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 p.m.·2016-2026 (2016-10-13 – 2026-04-15)
Lightning record: 476-306 (60.9%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (1526) exceed 782 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Tampa Bay Lightning compares in one-goal and overtime games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Overtime / shootout games
158 of 782 games match this window
Avg combined goals
OT/shootout avg
6
Season avg
6.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
OT/shootout avg
17.8
Season avg
21.3
Pressure impact
-3.5
Over rate
OT/shootout avg
51.9%
Season avg
47.6%
Pressure impact
+4.3 pp
Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample
One-goal or OT games
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Lightning games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Lightning went 476-306 (60.9%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Lightning.
Scores, PIM, and crews from NHL API. ATS/O-U from synthetic closing lines derived from final scores (12282/12282 games). Descriptive only, not market odds. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
285 of 782 games match this window
Avg combined goals
One-goal/OT avg
6
Season avg
6.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg minors
One-goal/OT avg
19.3
Season avg
21.3
Pressure impact
-2.0
Over rate
One-goal/OT avg
48.8%
Season avg
47.6%
Pressure impact
+1.2 pp
Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 782 total games in sample