Dan O'Rourke
12 games with the Flames · ~8-4
66.7%
Team baseline 48.8%
+18.0 pts vs team7.9 avg
58.3% over 7.3
+0.6 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
BalancedCalgary Flames
Every Flames game grouped by individual official, or by the same four officials on the ice. Over this sample the Flames are 195-205 (48.8%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
Whistle pattern
In the Flames games with Kiel Murchison, the Flames draw 1.4 more minor penalties per game than opponents (44-game sample).
44 games in sample
Kiel Murchison profile →Win rate pattern
Under crews with Trevor Hanson, Chris Lee, Matt MacPherson, and Bryan Pancich, the Flames are 4-17 (19.0%) in 21 games, 29.7 pts below their 48.8% sample average.
21 games in sample
Trevor Hanson profile →12 games with the Flames · ~8-4
66.7%
Team baseline 48.8%
+18.0 pts vs team7.9 avg
58.3% over 7.3
+0.6 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced20 games with the Flames · ~13-7
65.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
+16.3 pts vs team7 avg
75.0% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league+1.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Flames · ~11-6
64.7%
Team baseline 48.8%
+16.0 pts vs team7.1 avg
47.1% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Flames · ~7-4
63.6%
Team baseline 48.8%
+14.9 pts vs team7.3 avg
72.7% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+1.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced18 games with the Flames · ~11-7
61.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+12.4 pts vs team7.2 avg
61.1% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league-0.3
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Flames · ~9-6
60.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
+11.2 pts vs team6.7 avg
66.7% over 7.3
-0.6 vs league-0.9
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced27 games with the Flames · ~16-11
59.3%
Team baseline 48.8%
+10.5 pts vs team7.2 avg
51.9% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced44 games with the Flames · ~26-18
59.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+10.3 pts vs team7 avg
59.1% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
CGY tendency29 games with the Flames · ~17-12
58.6%
Team baseline 48.8%
+9.8 pts vs team7 avg
65.5% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced28 games with the Flames · ~16-12
57.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+8.3 pts vs team7 avg
60.7% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Flames · ~8-6
57.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+8.3 pts vs team7.2 avg
85.7% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced41 games with the Flames · ~23-18
56.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+7.4 pts vs team7.3 avg
63.4% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced66 games with the Flames · ~36-30
54.5%
Team baseline 48.8%
+5.8 pts vs team7 avg
65.2% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced47 games with the Flames · ~25-22
53.2%
Team baseline 48.8%
+4.5 pts vs team7.2 avg
59.6% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced49 games with the Flames · ~26-23
53.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+4.4 pts vs team7.3 avg
69.4% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
CGY tendency49 games with the Flames · ~26-23
53.1%
Team baseline 48.8%
+4.4 pts vs team7 avg
57.1% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced61 games with the Flames · ~32-29
52.5%
Team baseline 48.8%
+3.8 pts vs team7.4 avg
68.9% over 7.3
+0.1 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced67 games with the Flames · ~35-32
52.2%
Team baseline 48.8%
+3.5 pts vs team7.3 avg
61.2% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced29 games with the Flames · ~15-14
51.7%
Team baseline 48.8%
+3.0 pts vs team7.1 avg
51.7% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced65 games with the Flames · ~33-32
50.8%
Team baseline 48.8%
+2.1 pts vs team7.2 avg
60.0% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced44 games with the Flames · ~22-22
50.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
+1.3 pts vs team7.4 avg
63.6% over 7.3
+0.1 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced26 games with the Flames · ~13-13
50.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
+1.3 pts vs team7.2 avg
61.5% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced22 games with the Flames · ~11-11
50.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
+1.3 pts vs team7.1 avg
63.6% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced16 games with the Flames · ~8-8
50.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
+1.3 pts vs team7.2 avg
62.5% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced80 games with the Flames · ~39-41
48.8%
Team baseline 48.8%
+0.1 pts vs team7.1 avg
56.3% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced71 games with the Flames · ~34-37
47.9%
Team baseline 48.8%
-0.9 pts vs team7.1 avg
57.7% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced96 games with the Flames · ~45-51
46.9%
Team baseline 48.8%
-1.9 pts vs team7.4 avg
64.6% over 7.3
+0.1 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced32 games with the Flames · ~15-17
46.9%
Team baseline 48.8%
-1.9 pts vs team7.3 avg
62.5% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced26 games with the Flames · ~12-14
46.2%
Team baseline 48.8%
-2.5 pts vs team7.7 avg
61.5% over 7.3
+0.4 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced38 games with the Flames · ~17-21
44.7%
Team baseline 48.8%
-4.0 pts vs team7.3 avg
57.9% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced36 games with the Flames · ~16-20
44.4%
Team baseline 48.8%
-4.3 pts vs team7.2 avg
52.8% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced75 games with the Flames · ~33-42
44.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
-4.7 pts vs team7.1 avg
56.0% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced79 games with the Flames · ~34-45
43.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
-5.7 pts vs team7.2 avg
58.2% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced34 games with the Flames · ~14-20
41.2%
Team baseline 48.8%
-7.6 pts vs team7.5 avg
61.8% over 7.3
+0.2 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Flames · ~6-9
40.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
-8.7 pts vs team7.2 avg
73.3% over 7.3
-0.1 vs league+1.5
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
CGY tendency15 games with the Flames · ~6-9
40.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
-8.7 pts vs team7 avg
60.0% over 7.3
-0.3 vs league-0.3
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced27 games with the Flames · ~10-17
37.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
-11.7 pts vs team7.1 avg
55.6% over 7.3
-0.2 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced30 games with the Flames · ~11-19
36.7%
Team baseline 48.8%
-12.0 pts vs team7.3 avg
53.3% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced36 games with the Flames · ~12-24
33.3%
Team baseline 48.8%
-15.4 pts vs team7.5 avg
69.4% over 7.3
+0.2 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced64 games with the Flames · ~20-44
31.3%
Team baseline 48.8%
-17.4 pts vs team7.3 avg
65.6% over 7.3
+0.0 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
Balanced29 games with the Flames · ~9-20
31.0%
Team baseline 48.8%
-17.7 pts vs team7.4 avg
72.4% over 7.3
+0.1 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Flames's opponents when positive
BalancedHow Calgary Flames compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. Proxy windowsA competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
Games that required extra time; the clearest late-game pressure proxy in our logs. Includes OT and SO scoring.
82 of 400 games match this window
Derived from historical game logs · proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Overtime / shootout games | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined goals | 7.8 | 7.2 | +0.6 |
| Avg PIM | 14.7 | 15.2 | -0.5 |
| Over rate | 47.6% | 40.3% | +7.3 pts |
Over benchmark: 7.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 400 total games in sample
Regulation one-goal games plus any overtime, competitive games where third-period whistles matter most.
178 of 400 games match this window
Derived from historical game logs · proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | One-goal or OT games | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined goals | 7.4 | 7.2 | +0.2 |
| Avg PIM | 14.7 | 15.2 | -0.5 |
| Over rate | 36.5% | 40.3% | -3.8 pts |
Over benchmark: 7.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 400 total games in sample
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