Kansas City Chiefs

How the Chiefs play under each referee

Every Chiefs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Chiefs are 133-53 (71.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 p.m.·2016-2026 (2016-09-02 – 2026-01-04)

Chiefs record: 133-53 (71.5%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (616) exceed 186 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

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Jerod Phillips
+28.5 pts vs team+0.0
Terrence Miles
+28.5 pts vs team-1.0
Adrian Hill
+20.2 pts vs team+1.5
Roy Ellison
+18.5 pts vs team-1.3
John Jenkins
+16.0 pts vs team-1.5
Rich Martinez
+13.1 pts vs team+0.5
Jabir Walker
+10.3 pts vs team-0.5
Patrick Holt
+10.3 pts vs team+0.4
Alan Eck
+8.5 pts vs team-1.3
Dino Paganelli
+8.5 pts vs team-0.2
Clay Martin
+8.5 pts vs team+0.3
Shawn Smith
+8.5 pts vs team-0.1
Kent Payne
+7.1 pts vs team-1.9
Michael Banks
+6.3 pts vs team+0.2
Greg Meyer
+6.3 pts vs team-1.1
Kevin Codey
+6.3 pts vs team+0.3
Carl Johnson
+3.5 pts vs team-1.1
Patrick Turner
+3.5 pts vs team+1.8
Jeff Lamberth
+3.5 pts vs team+0.6
Derick Bowers
+3.5 pts vs team+1.1
Tony Michalek
+3.5 pts vs team+1.1
Brad Rogers
+3.5 pts vs team+0.4
Danny Short
+3.5 pts vs team+0.4
Tim Podraza
+1.8 pts vs team-0.3
Shawn Hochuli
+1.8 pts vs team-1.1
Barry Anderson
+1.2 pts vs team-0.2
Paul King
-1.5 pts vs team+0.8
Greg Steed
-1.5 pts vs team+0.7
Carl Paganelli
-1.5 pts vs team-0.1
Jonah Monroe
-1.5 pts vs team-0.1
Todd Prukop
-2.3 pts vs team-0.8
Brad Freeman
-2.3 pts vs team+0.2
Jeff Seeman
-2.3 pts vs team-1.5
Craig Wrolstad
-4.8 pts vs team+1.4
Mark Hittner
-4.8 pts vs team+0.1
Jim Quirk
-4.8 pts vs team+0.6
Matt Edwards
-4.8 pts vs team-0.2
Eugene Hall
-6.8 pts vs team+0.1
Bill Vinovich
-7.2 pts vs team+0.3
John Hussey
-7.2 pts vs team-0.9
Dana McKenzie
-7.9 pts vs team-0.4
Nathan Jones
-7.9 pts vs team-0.7
Carl Cheffers
-8.3 pts vs team+1.1
Greg Bradley
-9.0 pts vs team-1.1
Dyrol Prioleau
-9.0 pts vs team-0.1
Allen Baynes
-14.4 pts vs team+0.2
Clete Blakeman
-15.2 pts vs team-0.9
Bryan Neale
-15.9 pts vs team+1.4
Sarah Thomas
-15.9 pts vs team+0.7
Brad Allen
-17.0 pts vs team+0.3
Boris Cheek
-21.5 pts vs team-1.1
Rick Patterson
-21.5 pts vs team+0.0
Mearl Robinson
-21.5 pts vs team-0.1
Rusty Baynes
-21.5 pts vs team+0.5
Tom Stephan
-21.5 pts vs team+2.4
Greg Yette
-26.0 pts vs team+0.4

Close-game proxy

How Kansas City Chiefs compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

101 of 186 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
48.9
Season avg
47.4
Pressure impact
+1.5
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13
Season avg
12.6
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
52.5%
Season avg
46.2%
Pressure impact
+6.3 pp

Over benchmark: 47.4 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 186 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Chiefs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Chiefs went 133-53 (71.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Chiefs.

Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2761 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4604/5940 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.