NBA10/22
Statistically significant ref×team split
Chicago Bulls
How the Bulls play under each referee
Every Bulls game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bulls are 297-523 (36.2%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
297-523 (36.2%)
vs. opp avg .504 · baseline 203-207 · -51.4 above avg
Splits
- Top 10 opponents32-106 (23.2%) · 138 gp
- 11–20 opponents42-97 (30.2%) · 139 gp
- Bottom 10 opponents78-55 (58.6%) · 133 gp
Opponent tiers ranked by season-end win% within each season. Schedule context uses the same Bulls sample as the record above.
Standout team-official split
The strongest verified team-official win-rate pattern for the Bulls in the current sample.
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (2460) exceed 820 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
Tight-game proxy
How Chicago Bulls compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
595 of 820 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Tight-game avg
- 223.8
- Season avg
- 222.3
- Pressure impact
- +1.5
Avg fouls
- Tight-game avg
- 41
- Season avg
- 41
- Pressure impact
- +0.0
Over rate
- Tight-game avg
- 57.8%
- Season avg
- 51.0%
- Pressure impact
- +6.8 pp
Over benchmark: 222.3 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 820 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bulls games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Bulls went 297-523 (36.2%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Bulls.
Ref×team W-L from Basketball-Reference (2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26). Foul and scoring from NBA Stats API game logs.