NBA10/22
Statistically significant ref×team split
Chicago Bulls
How the Bulls play under each referee
Every Bulls game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bulls are 297-523 (36.2%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
297-523 (36.2%)
vs. opp avg .504 · baseline 203-207 · -51.4 above avg
Splits
- Top 10 opponents32-106 (23.2%) · 138 gp
- 11–20 opponents42-97 (30.2%) · 139 gp
- Bottom 10 opponents78-55 (58.6%) · 133 gp
Opponent tiers ranked by season-end win% within each season. Schedule context uses the same Bulls sample as the record above.
Top verified whistle edge
The strongest verified ref pattern for the Bulls in the current sample.
Tight-game proxy
How Chicago Bulls compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. (Based on official box scores, not L2M reports).
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
595 of 820 games match this window
Avg combined pts
- Late-game avg
- 223.8
- Season avg
- 222.3
- Pressure impact
- +1.5
Avg fouls
- Late-game avg
- 41
- Season avg
- 41
- Pressure impact
- +0.0
Over rate
- Late-game avg
- 57.8%
- Season avg
- 51.0%
- Pressure impact
- +6.8 pts
Over benchmark: 222 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 820 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
436 of 820 games match this window
Avg combined pts
- Late-game avg
- 221.3
- Season avg
- 222.3
- Pressure impact
- -1.0
Avg fouls
- Late-game avg
- 40.8
- Season avg
- 41
- Pressure impact
- -0.2
Over rate
- Late-game avg
- 47.5%
- Season avg
- 51.0%
- Pressure impact
- -3.5 pts
Over benchmark: 222 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 820 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bulls games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Bulls went 297-523 (36.2%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Bulls.
Ref×team W-L from Basketball-Reference (2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26). Foul and scoring from NBA Stats API game logs.