Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (556) exceed 182 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Los Angeles Rams compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
83 of 182 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
47.9
Season avg
46.3
Pressure impact
+1.6
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11.8
Season avg
11.5
Pressure impact
+0.3
Over rate
Close-game avg
55.4%
Season avg
48.4%
Pressure impact
+7.0 pp
Over benchmark: 46.3 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 182 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
127 of 182 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
46.8
Season avg
46.3
Pressure impact
+0.5
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
11.6
Season avg
11.5
Pressure impact
+0.1
Over rate
Toss-up avg
48.0%
Season avg
48.4%
Pressure impact
-0.4 pp
Over benchmark: 46.3 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 182 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Rams games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Rams went 107-75 (58.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Rams.
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2793 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4629/5986 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Los Angeles Rams Refs, Officials & Officiating Trends | Ref Watch