Chicago Bears

How the Bears play under each referee

Every Bears game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bears are 70-100 (41.2%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 p.m.·2016-2026 (2016-09-02 – 2026-01-18)

Bears record: 70-100 (41.2%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (608) exceed 170 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

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Jerod Phillips
+36.6 pts vs team-0.3
Tra Blake
+33.8 pts vs team+2.1
Carl Johnson
+25.5 pts vs team-1.6
Adrian Hill
+25.5 pts vs team-2.4
Alex Kemp
+25.5 pts vs team+1.0
Mearl Robinson
+25.5 pts vs team+0.2
Don Willard
+22.4 pts vs team+1.1
Allen Baynes
+21.3 pts vs team-0.2
Rusty Baynes
+21.3 pts vs team-1.0
Greg Wilson
+21.3 pts vs team-0.1
Mark Stewart
+21.3 pts vs team+1.8
Roy Ellison
+21.3 pts vs team-2.4
Dave Hawkshaw
+21.3 pts vs team+1.5
Clete Blakeman
+18.8 pts vs team+2.4
Terry Brown
+17.1 pts vs team+0.3
Julian Mapp
+17.1 pts vs team+0.8
Bryan Neale
+14.4 pts vs team+0.7
Carl Paganelli
+14.4 pts vs team+0.7
Jeff Seeman
+14.4 pts vs team+0.8
Greg Steed
+8.8 pts vs team-0.5
Michael Banks
+8.8 pts vs team+0.5
Shawn Smith
+3.2 pts vs team+1.8
Patrick Turner
+3.2 pts vs team+1.4
John Hussey
+3.2 pts vs team-0.2
Clay Martin
+3.2 pts vs team-0.6
Jonah Monroe
+3.2 pts vs team+0.7
Kevin Codey
+1.7 pts vs team+0.0
Greg Yette
-1.2 pts vs team-0.3
Brad Allen
-1.2 pts vs team-2.5
Brad Freeman
-1.2 pts vs team-1.6
Anthony Jeffries
-1.2 pts vs team+2.7
Tony Michalek
-3.7 pts vs team-1.4
James Coleman
-3.7 pts vs team+0.3
Jabir Walker
-3.7 pts vs team-0.2
Rick Patterson
-3.7 pts vs team-1.9
Greg Meyer
-3.7 pts vs team+0.3
Dana McKenzie
-3.7 pts vs team+3.3
Tripp Sutter
-3.7 pts vs team+1.3
Derick Bowers
-4.8 pts vs team-1.0
Boris Cheek
-4.8 pts vs team-1.6
Greg Bradley
-4.8 pts vs team-0.1
Barry Anderson
-7.9 pts vs team-0.3
Mark Pellis
-7.9 pts vs team+0.7
Alan Eck
-7.9 pts vs team+1.0
Scott Helverson
-7.9 pts vs team+1.6
Land Clark
-7.9 pts vs team+0.3
Brad Rogers
-7.9 pts vs team+1.6
David Meslow
-10.4 pts vs team+0.6
Todd Prukop
-11.2 pts vs team+1.4
Eugene Hall
-11.2 pts vs team-0.4
Mike Carr
-11.2 pts vs team+1.2
Carl Cheffers
-13.9 pts vs team-1.2
Terrence Miles
-16.2 pts vs team+0.4
Jeff Lamberth
-16.2 pts vs team+0.0
Keith Washington
-16.2 pts vs team+1.0
Paul King
-16.2 pts vs team+0.4
Tony Josselyn
-16.2 pts vs team+0.8
Kent Payne
-18.1 pts vs team+0.2
Aaron Santi
-19.0 pts vs team+0.9
Danny Short
-19.0 pts vs team-1.0
Thomas Eaton
-19.0 pts vs team+1.7
Scott Novak
-21.2 pts vs team+0.8
Craig Wrolstad
-23.0 pts vs team-0.5

Close-game proxy

How Chicago Bears compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

86 of 170 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
43.2
Season avg
42.7
Pressure impact
+0.5
Avg flags
Close-game avg
12.6
Season avg
12.2
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
46.5%
Season avg
46.5%
Pressure impact
+0.0 pp

Over benchmark: 42.7 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 170 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bears games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bears went 70-100 (41.2%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bears.

Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2761 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4604/5940 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.