Buffalo Bills
Every Bills game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bills are 114-67 (63.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (629) exceed 181 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
How Buffalo Bills compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
85 of 181 games match this window
Avg combined points
Avg flags
Over rate
Over benchmark: 46.1 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 181 total games in sample
107 of 181 games match this window
Avg combined points
Avg flags
Over rate
Over benchmark: 46.1 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 181 total games in sample
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2793 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4629/5986 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
