Buffalo Bills
How the Bills play under each ref or ref crew
Every Bills game grouped by individual official, or by the same seven officials on the field. Over this sample the Bills are 15-7 (68.2%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
No refs with enough games involving the Bills yet.
Late-game proxy
How Buffalo Bills compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. Proxy windowsA competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
7pt proxy
11 of 22 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play · partial coverage (11 games in window)
| Metric | Close games (≤7 pt margin) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 57.7 | 51.8 | +5.9 |
| Avg flags | 12.9 | 13.3 | -0.4 |
| Over rate | 63.6% | 50.0% | +13.6 pts |
Over benchmark: 48.8 combined points · Seasons: 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 22 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups
spread
22 of 22 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Pregame toss-ups | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 51.8 | 51.8 | +0.0 |
| Avg flags | 13.3 | 13.3 | +0.0 |
| Over rate | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 48.8 combined points · Seasons: 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 22 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bills games they worked, even with different partners.
- Ref crews: stats when the same seven officials worked together on the Bills games (5+ games shown by default).
- Team baseline: the Bills went 15-7 (68.2%) across this sample. Ref and crew win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bills.
Scores, penalty counts, and crews from ESPN. Ref×team W-L from those games. No verified closing lines — ATS/O-U splits hidden.