Ref×team split · N=9
Cleveland Cavaliers
Every Cavaliers game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Cavaliers are 420-400 (51.2%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
420-400 (51.2%)
vs. opp avg .493 · baseline 208-202 · +49.3 above avg
Opponent tiers ranked by season-end win% within each season. Schedule context uses the same Cavaliers sample as the record above.
The strongest verified ref pattern for the Cavaliers in the current sample.
How Cleveland Cavaliers compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. (Based on official box scores, not L2M reports).
592 of 820 games match this window
Avg combined pts
Avg fouls
Over rate
Over benchmark: 222 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 820 total games in sample
Ref×team W-L from Basketball-Reference (2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26). Foul and scoring from NBA Stats API game logs.
414 of 820 games match this window
Avg combined pts
Avg fouls
Over rate
Over benchmark: 222 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 820 total games in sample