New England Patriots
How the Patriots play under each ref or ref crew
Every Patriots game grouped by individual official, or by the same seven officials on the field. Over this sample the Patriots are 5-14 (26.3%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
No refs with enough games involving the Patriots yet.
Late-game proxy
How New England Patriots compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. Proxy windowsA competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
7pt proxy
9 of 19 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play · partial coverage (9 games in window)
| Metric | Close games (≤7 pt margin) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 38.3 | 38.9 | -0.6 |
| Avg flags | 12.8 | 12.7 | +0.1 |
| Over rate | 22.2% | 21.1% | +1.1 pts |
Over benchmark: 48.8 combined points · Seasons: 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 19 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups
spread
19 of 19 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Pregame toss-ups | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 38.9 | 38.9 | +0.0 |
| Avg flags | 12.7 | 12.7 | +0.0 |
| Over rate | 21.1% | 21.1% | +0.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 48.8 combined points · Seasons: 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 19 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Patriots games they worked, even with different partners.
- Ref crews: stats when the same seven officials worked together on the Patriots games (5+ games shown by default).
- Team baseline: the Patriots went 5-14 (26.3%) across this sample. Ref and crew win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Patriots.
Scores, penalty counts, and crews from ESPN. Ref×team W-L from those games. No verified closing lines — ATS/O-U splits hidden.