Every Texans game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Texans are 83-1-92 (47.2%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 p.m.·2016-2026 (2016-09-02 – 2026-01-18)
Texans record: 83-1-92 (47.2%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (572) exceed 176 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Houston Texans compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
88 of 176 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
44
Season avg
44.3
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13
Season avg
12.6
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
45.5%
Season avg
44.3%
Pressure impact
+1.2 pp
Over benchmark: 44.3 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 176 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Texans games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Texans went 83-1-92 (47.2%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Texans.
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2761 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4604/5940 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
124 of 176 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
43.9
Season avg
44.3
Pressure impact
-0.4
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.5
Season avg
12.6
Pressure impact
-0.1
Over rate
Toss-up avg
40.3%
Season avg
44.3%
Pressure impact
-4.0 pp
Over benchmark: 44.3 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 176 total games in sample