Every Manchester City game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Manchester City are 269-58-53 (70.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Michael Oliver has the most Manchester City games in this sample (43).
Qualified refs in this table account for 333 of 380 team matches (88%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Manchester City compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
174 of 380 games match this window
Avg combined goals
Close-match avg
2.5
Season avg
3.2
Pressure impact
-0.7
Avg cards
Close-match avg
19.6
Season avg
18.9
Pressure impact
+0.7
Over rate
Close-match avg
19.5%
Season avg
41.6%
Pressure impact
-22.1 pp
Over benchmark: 3.2 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 380 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Manchester City games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Manchester City went 269-58-53 (70.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Manchester City.
Goals, fouls, and cards from football-data.co.uk match archives (3800 games, 10 seasons). Over/under vs the 2.5-goal line. 0 rows skipped. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
