EPL officiating research

High-confidence findings

• #2

  League trend

  2025-26 vs 2024-25: league scoring and whistle context

  2.8 goals2025-26 avg total

  380 games

  Sample: 760 games • Data maturity: High

  League scoring held steady year over year (2024-25 to 2025-26).

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• #3

  Ref outlier

  Michael Salisbury runs +0.5 on combined scoring

  +0.5Scoring delta

  vs 2.8 league avg

  LowerLeague avgHigher

  Sample: 61 games • Data maturity: High

  Michael Salisbury's 61 games average 3.3 combined points (65.6% over 2.8), one of the largest scoring deltas in the pool.

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• #4

  Ref outlier

  Sam Barrott leads the pool on over frequency

  66.1%Over benchmark

  62 games

  0%50% neutral100%

  Sample: 62 games • Data maturity: High

  66.1% of Sam Barrott's 62 games finish over 2.8 combined total goals, 16.1 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.

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• #5

  Whistle extreme

  David Coote foul pace outlier

  23.5Fouls

  +2.0 vs 21.5

  Official 23.5 per gameLeague avg 21.5

  Sample: 112 games • Data maturity: High

  David Coote: 23.5 fouls/match.

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• #6

  Ref outlier

  Robert Madley leads the pool on under frequency

  36.0%Under benchmark

  50 games

  0%50% neutral100%

  Sample: 50 games • Data maturity: High

  36.0% of Robert Madley's 50 games finish under 2.8 combined total goals, 14.0 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.

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