Every Chelsea game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Chelsea are 195-85-100 (51.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Anthony Taylor has the most Chelsea games in this sample (40).
Qualified refs in this table account for 323 of 380 team matches (85%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Chelsea compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
220 of 380 games match this window
Avg combined goals
Close-match avg
2.4
Season avg
2.9
Pressure impact
-0.5
Avg cards
Close-match avg
22.5
Season avg
22.1
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-match avg
48.2%
Season avg
57.6%
Pressure impact
-9.4 pp
Over benchmark: 2.9 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 380 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Chelsea games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Chelsea went 195-85-100 (51.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Chelsea.
Goals, fouls, and cards from football-data.co.uk match archives (3800 games, 10 seasons). Over/under vs the 2.5-goal line. 0 rows skipped. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
