Every Aston Villa game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Aston Villa are 114-53-99 (42.9%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Michael Oliver has the most Aston Villa games in this sample (22).
Qualified refs in this table account for 215 of 266 team matches (81%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Aston Villa compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
162 of 266 games match this window
Avg combined goals
Close-match avg
2.5
Season avg
2.9
Pressure impact
-0.4
Avg cards
Close-match avg
24.7
Season avg
24.5
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Close-match avg
51.2%
Season avg
58.3%
Pressure impact
-7.1 pp
Over benchmark: 2.9 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 266 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Aston Villa games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Aston Villa went 114-53-99 (42.9%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Aston Villa.
Goals, fouls, and cards from football-data.co.uk match archives (3800 games, 10 seasons). Over/under vs the 2.5-goal line. 0 rows skipped. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
