Every Aston Villa game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Aston Villa are 114-53-99 (42.9%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 8:18 p.m.·2016-2026 (2019-08-10 – 2026-05-24)
Aston Villa record: 114-53-99 (42.9%)
Qualified refs in this table account for 215 of 266 team matches (81%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Aston Villa compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
162 of 266 games match this window
Avg combined goals
Close-match avg
2.5
Season avg
2.9
Pressure impact
-0.4
Avg cards
Close-match avg
24.7
Season avg
24.5
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Close-match avg
51.2%
Season avg
58.3%
Pressure impact
-7.1 pp
Over benchmark: 2.9 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 266 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Aston Villa games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Aston Villa went 114-53-99 (42.9%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Aston Villa.
Goals, fouls, and cards from football-data.co.uk match archives (3800 games, 10 seasons). Over/under vs the 2.5-goal line. 0 rows skipped. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
