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EPL ·
Robert Madley leads the pool on under frequency
This page documents a EPL officiating research finding. 36. The analysis uses 2,026 games (Strong confidence). Expect descriptive historical stats with methodology links, not predictions or betting advice.
Interpretation: Personal over rate tracks how often this official's games clear the fixed 2.5-goals benchmark. Descriptive frequency, not sportsbook pricing.
36.0% of Robert Madley's 50 games finish under 2.5 combined total goals, 14.0 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.
- Under benchmark
- 36.0%
- 50 games
- Delta vs baseline
- -0.5 total goals
- vs 2.8 league avg
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →