EPL ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Andre Marriner runs 2.9 fewer fouls than league average
Andre Marriner averages 18.6 fouls per game (-2.9 vs league) across 164 games, the largest whistle delta among 50+ game refs.
Rule and category
whistle extreme
Whistle pace compares fouls volume to the league average in this dataset. High or low foul counts do not automatically predict scoring or spread outcomes.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- fouls per game: 18.6 (-2.9 vs 21.6 league avg)
- Over benchmark: 56.7% (2.5 goals)
- Avg combined total goals: 3 (+0.2 vs league)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 164 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other EPL findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- fouls per game
- 18.6
- -2.9 vs 21.6 league avg
- Over benchmark
- 56.7%
- 2.5 goals
- Avg combined total goals
- 3
- +0.2 vs league
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →