Bundesliga08/23
Ref×team split · N=10
Mainz
How Mainz play under each referee
Every Mainz game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample Mainz are 54-60 (47.4%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Top verified whistle edge
The strongest verified ref pattern for Mainz in the current sample.
Close-match proxy
How Mainz compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
101 of 165 games match this window
Avg combined goals
- Close-match avg
- 2.4
- Season avg
- 2.9
- Pressure impact
- -0.5
Avg cards
- Close-match avg
- 19.9
- Season avg
- 19.2
- Pressure impact
- +0.7
Over rate
- Close-match avg
- 42.6%
- Season avg
- 54.5%
- Pressure impact
- -11.9 pp
Over benchmark: 2.9 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 165 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Mainz games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: Mainz went 54-60 (47.4%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than Mainz.
Scores, fouls, cards, and referee assignments from ESPN (1282 games, 154 with sportsbook totals). Referee coverage only where ESPN lists gameInfo.officials (2021-22 onward); games without referee names are excluded entirely. football-data.co.uk I1 CSVs lack a Referee column and are not used. Matrix: 402/572 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 248 games skipped (no official listed).