Every Mystics game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Mystics are 30-54 (35.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
The strongest verified ref pattern for the Mystics in the current sample.
WNBA05/14
Ref×team split · N=8
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Washington Mystics compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. (Based on official box scores, not L2M reports).
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
31 of 84 games match this window
Avg combined pts
Late-game avg
160.9
Season avg
160.1
Pressure impact
+0.8
Avg fouls
Late-game avg
38.6
Season avg
37.2
Pressure impact
+1.4
Over rate
Late-game avg
41.9%
Season avg
40.5%
Pressure impact
+1.4 pts
Over benchmark: 165 combined points · Seasons: 2024-25, 2025-26 · 84 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
84 of 84 games match this window
Avg combined pts
Late-game avg
160.1
Season avg
160.1
Pressure impact
+0.0
Avg fouls
Late-game avg
37.2
Season avg
37.2
Pressure impact
+0.0
Over rate
Late-game avg
40.5%
Season avg
40.5%
Pressure impact
+0.0 pts
Over benchmark: 165 combined points · Seasons: 2024-25, 2025-26 · 84 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Mystics games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Mystics went 30-54 (35.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Mystics.
528 WNBA games from ESPN with scores, foul totals, and referee crews. Matrix: 438/467 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 3 games skipped (no officials listed). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Washington Mystics referee crew splits | Ref Watch