40 games analyzed over 2 seasonsUpdated Aug 22, 2026, 10:16 p.m.Compare
WNBA
Matt Kallio
Game-Flow Manager · 40 games · 2 seasons
Low game-to-game volatility
Historically associated with slightly lower scoring (7.1 fewer points per game than the league average), below-average fouls volume (2.3 fewer fouls per game than the league average), reduced late-game whistle frequency.
How games feel
Typical historical game environment associated with this official. Descriptive history only.
Slightly lower-scoring environment
Moderate evidence
Games officiated by this official averaged 159.5 combined points, 7.1 fewer points per game than the league average.
League average 166.6 combined points
Below-average fouls volume
Moderate evidence
Averaged 33.7 fouls per game (-2.3 vs league).
League average 36 fouls
Standout Washington Mystics split
Limited evidence
Washington Mystics is 5-3 (62.5%) across 8 games with this official, +15.6 percentage points above the team baseline (46.9%).
Team baseline 46.9% across 192 games
Fewer late-game whistles
Moderate evidence
In close finishes, whistle rate historically drops versus earlier periods after intentional-foul filtering.
Late-game profile: Swallows Whistle
Low game-to-game volatility
Moderate evidence
Consistency score 7/10 on whistle volume across the scouting sample window.
Descriptive stability of whistle volume, not a market forecast
Multi-season sample on file
Moderate evidence
Profile spans 2 seasons in this dataset (2021–2022).
Historical environment
Scoring, whistle, and stability context from this official's verified sample versus league averages. Descriptive history only. Window: 2022–2026.
League comparison
Combined score
Official 159.5·Baseline 166.6·-7.1 vs leagueper game
Whistle profile unavailable
Not enough verified games are available to compare this official reliably with the league.
Over-benchmark rate withheld unless verified closing-line provenance is available for this league.
Whistle detail
Stability
Sample size
40 games (22 in 2022–2026)
Seasons on file
2021, 2022
Consistency
7/10
Officiating style
Official Matt Kallio profiles as a game-flow (high subjective ratio) over the last 40 games. Whistle volume stays relatively stable in high-stakes settings.
Game-Flow (high subjective ratio) · WNBA
Loose / Game-FlowStrict / Rule-Enforcer
90% subjective, 10% procedural
90% subjective vs 10% procedural whistle mix.
Not pressure-sensitive in the last 40 games.
Win/loss and line history
Straight-up and line-linked outcome history when provenance allows. Not a recommendation.
General stats
Games
22
Avg combined score
159.5
-7.1 vs league avg
Games over benchmark
36.4%
Combined beat 166.6 benchmark
Fouls per game
33.7
-2.3 vs league avg
Seasons
2 seasons
Pressure
Late-game whistle tendency versus earlier periods. Zero on the scale is the neutral / no-shift anchor for this official (same whistle rate late as earlier), not a league average and not a betting recommendation.
Late-game whistle tendency
Swallows Whistle
Swallows whistleNeutral (0)Tightens up
Leverage index: -77% vs earlier periods (0 = no late-game shift)
Swallows the whistle: foul frequency historically drops in late close-game minutes after intentional-foul filtering. Neutral anchor is zero change versus earlier periods.
Swallows whistle means late close-game whistle rate is lower than earlier periods after intentional-foul filtering. Historical tendency only.
Tight-game proxy
Supporting evidence from close finishes in the verified sample.
Tight-game proxy
How Matt Kallio compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
9 of 40 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
154.8
Season avg
161.9
Pressure impact
-7.1
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
32.8
Season avg
35
Pressure impact
-2.2
Over rate
Tight-game avg
33.3%
Season avg
37.5%
Pressure impact
-4.2 pp
Over benchmark: 165 combined points · Seasons: 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 · 40 total games in sample
Team effects versus baseline
Each row compares a team's win rate with this official to that team's overall win rate in the same dataset window (2021 to 2026). Sorted by absolute delta. Descriptive history only - not a measure of cause. Minimum 8 shared games per row.
Delta is the difference between team win rate with this official and team baseline win rate, in percentage points (pp). Descriptive history only. Confidence follows sample depth for the shared games with this official.
Career
Career evolution
Season timeline of archetype and late-game sensitivity, with detailed metrics below.
2022Insufficient sample0 games
2021Insufficient sample0 games
Season
Style bucket derived from procedural vs. subjective foul mix and game-flow impact. Helps frame whether this ref tends to let play breathe or enforce structure.
Foul Ratio
How much an official's whistle rate shifts in close, late-game situations compared with the rest of the game. Positive values suggest they tighten up under pressure.
1-10 rating of how predictable this official's whistle volume is game to game. Higher scores mean steadier pacing; lower scores flag more volatile totals markets.
2022
Insufficient data (0 games, fewer than 10 required)
2021
Insufficient data (0 games, fewer than 10 required)
Related officials
Explore officials who frequently work with this official or show similar historical officiating patterns.
Frequent crew partners
Officials who have appeared on the same crew most often in the available dataset.
35.6% over · -1.6 whistlesimilar over rate · similar whistle tendency
Pre-Game Context
Refficacy Dimensions
Referee Efficacy Radar
40 games · 0-100 index where 50 marks league norm. Higher is not automatically better.
This officialLeague norm (50)
Run stoppages70 index
50
How often this crew whistles during opponent scoring runs.
Scoring pace31 index
50
Combined scoring in this crew's games versus league average.
Whistle mix65 index
50
Contact and administrative whistle share relative to league norms.
3 metrics excluded due to insufficient event data
Quick compare
How to read this profile
Scoring and foul totals come from WNBA Stats API game logs. Ref×team win-loss records are rebuilt from verified game logs. Team foul splits live on team pages. Tonight's assignment signals are on the WNBA slate.
1433 WNBA games from ESPN with scores, foul totals, and referee crews. Matrix: 666/804 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 13 games skipped (no officials listed). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.