Tampa Bay Buccaneers

How the Buccaneers play under each referee

Every Buccaneers game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Buccaneers are 91-84 (52.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Rusty Baynes has the most Buccaneers games in this sample (13).

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2016-2026 (2016-09-11 – 2026-08-22)

Buccaneers record: 91-84 (52.0%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (586) exceed 175 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

Sort by

Carl Paganelli
+25.8 pts vs team+0.7
Patrick Turner
+25.8 pts vs team-0.6
John Jenkins
+24.9 pts vs team-0.8
Jerod Phillips
+23.0 pts vs team-0.9
Tim Podraza
+23.0 pts vs team-0.5
Greg Wilson
+18.0 pts vs team-0.3
Terrence Miles
+14.7 pts vs team-1.3
Clay Martin
+14.7 pts vs team+0.4
Rick Patterson
+14.7 pts vs team+0.3
Brad Rogers
+14.7 pts vs team-1.8
Tripp Sutter
+14.7 pts vs team+0.8
Alan Eck
+11.6 pts vs team-0.3
Greg Meyer
+11.6 pts vs team+1.7
Brad Allen
+11.6 pts vs team-0.2
Scott Helverson
+10.5 pts vs team+0.3
Boris Cheek
+10.5 pts vs team+1.4
Kent Payne
+10.5 pts vs team-0.7
Todd Prukop
+10.5 pts vs team+0.3
Scott Novak
+8.0 pts vs team-1.0
Aaron Santi
+6.3 pts vs team+1.6
Adrian Hill
+6.3 pts vs team+1.8
Shawn Hochuli
+6.3 pts vs team+0.3
Sarah Thomas
+3.6 pts vs team-0.8
Greg Steed
+3.6 pts vs team+1.4
Bill Vinovich
+3.6 pts vs team+1.2
Carl Cheffers
+3.6 pts vs team-1.9
Matt Edwards
+3.6 pts vs team+1.2
Julian Mapp
+2.5 pts vs team+1.1
Barry Anderson
+2.5 pts vs team-2.5
Eugene Hall
+1.8 pts vs team-1.2
Dale Shaw
-2.0 pts vs team+0.3
Alex Kemp
-2.0 pts vs team+0.8
Allen Baynes
-2.0 pts vs team-0.5
Craig Wrolstad
-2.0 pts vs team+0.6
Anthony Jeffries
-2.0 pts vs team-1.5
Land Clark
-2.0 pts vs team+1.4
Clete Blakeman
-2.0 pts vs team+0.9
Derick Bowers
-2.0 pts vs team+0.6
Mark Stewart
-2.0 pts vs team+1.8
Rusty Baynes
-5.8 pts vs team+0.7
Greg Bradley
-5.8 pts vs team-0.2
Roy Ellison
-5.8 pts vs team+2.4
Brad Freeman
-5.8 pts vs team-0.8
Terry Brown
-6.5 pts vs team+0.3
David Oliver
-6.5 pts vs team+0.7
Jimmy Buchanan
-7.6 pts vs team+0.4
Rich Martinez
-7.6 pts vs team-0.3
Jonah Monroe
-7.6 pts vs team+0.2
Jabir Walker
-7.6 pts vs team-0.4
Mike Carr
-14.5 pts vs team+1.5
Mearl Robinson
-14.5 pts vs team+0.1
John Hussey
-15.6 pts vs team+0.4
Steven Woods
-15.6 pts vs team-0.4
Jerome Boger
-18.7 pts vs team+1.8
Tom Stephan
-18.7 pts vs team-0.6
Dana McKenzie
-18.7 pts vs team+0.9
Grantis Bell
-27.0 pts vs team+0.6
Brian Bolinger
-29.8 pts vs team-1.3

Close-game proxy

How Tampa Bay Buccaneers compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

90 of 175 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
48.8
Season avg
48
Pressure impact
+0.8
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.2
Season avg
12.6
Pressure impact
+0.6
Over rate
Close-game avg
51.1%
Season avg
46.9%
Pressure impact
+4.2 pp

Over benchmark: 48 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 175 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Buccaneers games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Buccaneers went 91-84 (52.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Buccaneers.

Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2793 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4629/5986 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.