Every Broncos game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Broncos are 77-92 (45.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 p.m.·2016-2026 (2016-09-02 – 2026-01-25)
Broncos record: 77-92 (45.6%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (532) exceed 169 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Denver Broncos compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
85 of 169 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
40
Season avg
41.7
Pressure impact
-1.7
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.1
Season avg
12.9
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Close-game avg
40.0%
Season avg
45.6%
Pressure impact
-5.6 pp
Over benchmark: 41.7 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 169 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Broncos games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Broncos went 77-92 (45.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Broncos.
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2761 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4604/5940 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
109 of 169 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
43.1
Season avg
41.7
Pressure impact
+1.4
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
13.5
Season avg
12.9
Pressure impact
+0.6
Over rate
Toss-up avg
48.6%
Season avg
45.6%
Pressure impact
+3.0 pp
Over benchmark: 41.7 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 169 total games in sample