NFL ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Alex Moore runs 4.8 more flags than league average
Alex Moore averages 17.2 flags per game (+4.8 vs the 12.8 league average) across 45 assigned games, one of the clearest penalty-volume outliers in the NFL pool.
Rule and category
whistle extreme
Flag pace compares how often a crew throws penalty flags relative to the league average in this dataset. Heavier or lighter flag volume is descriptive officiating style; it does not, by itself, predict spreads, totals, or game outcomes.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- Flags per game: 17.2 (+4.8 vs 12.8 league avg)
- Over benchmark: 53.3% (44 combined points)
- Scoring delta: +1.6 (vs 45 league avg)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 45 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other NFL findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- Flags per game
- 17.2
- +4.8 vs 12.8 league avg
- Over benchmark
- 53.3%
- 44 combined points
- Scoring delta
- +1.6
- vs 45 league avg
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →