EPL08/21
Ref×team split · N=9
Watford
How the Watford play under each referee
Every Watford game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Watford are 50-38-102 (26.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Standout team-official split
The strongest verified team-official win-rate pattern for the Watford in the current sample.
Qualified refs in this table account for 153 of 190 team matches (81%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
Close-match proxy
How Watford compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
111 of 190 games match this window
Avg combined goals
- Close-match avg
- 2.3
- Season avg
- 2.8
- Pressure impact
- -0.5
Avg cards
- Close-match avg
- 23.1
- Season avg
- 22.5
- Pressure impact
- +0.6
Over rate
- Close-match avg
- 46.8%
- Season avg
- 55.3%
- Pressure impact
- -8.5 pp
Over benchmark: 2.8 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 190 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Watford games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Watford went 50-38-102 (26.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Watford.
Goals, fouls, and cards from football-data.co.uk match archives (3800 games, 10 seasons). Over/under vs the 2.5-goal line. 0 rows skipped. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.