Every Wildcats game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wildcats are 126-71 (64.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-25 – 2026-03-22)
Wildcats record: 126-71 (64.0%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (491) exceed 197 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Kentucky Wildcats compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
51 of 197 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
153.4
Season avg
153.1
Pressure impact
+0.3
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
35.5
Season avg
34.2
Pressure impact
+1.3
Over rate
Tight-game avg
60.8%
Season avg
59.4%
Pressure impact
+1.4 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 197 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wildcats games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Wildcats went 126-71 (64.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Wildcats.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
58 of 197 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
145.3
Season avg
153.1
Pressure impact
-7.8
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
35.6
Season avg
34.2
Pressure impact
+1.4
Over rate
Toss-up avg
46.6%
Season avg
59.4%
Pressure impact
-12.8 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 197 total games in sample