Every Horned Frogs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Horned Frogs are 115-81 (58.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-26 – 2026-03-21)
Horned Frogs record: 115-81 (58.7%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (408) exceed 196 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How TCU Horned Frogs compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
66 of 196 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
146.7
Season avg
142.2
Pressure impact
+4.5
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
34.3
Season avg
33
Pressure impact
+1.3
Over rate
Tight-game avg
50.0%
Season avg
37.2%
Pressure impact
+12.8 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 196 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Horned Frogs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Horned Frogs went 115-81 (58.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Horned Frogs.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
60 of 196 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
140.8
Season avg
142.2
Pressure impact
-1.4
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
33.2
Season avg
33
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Toss-up avg
41.7%
Season avg
37.2%
Pressure impact
+4.5 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 196 total games in sample