Every Nittany Lions game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Nittany Lions are 91-97 (48.4%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-28 – 2026-03-10)
Nittany Lions record: 91-97 (48.4%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (373) exceed 188 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Penn State Nittany Lions compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
61 of 188 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
141.5
Season avg
144.9
Pressure impact
-3.4
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
32.7
Season avg
32.9
Pressure impact
-0.2
Over rate
Tight-game avg
47.5%
Season avg
50.5%
Pressure impact
-3.0 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 188 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Nittany Lions games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Nittany Lions went 91-97 (48.4%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Nittany Lions.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
65 of 188 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
140.5
Season avg
144.9
Pressure impact
-4.4
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
31.3
Season avg
32.9
Pressure impact
-1.6
Over rate
Toss-up avg
38.5%
Season avg
50.5%
Pressure impact
-12.0 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 188 total games in sample