NC State Wolfpack

How the Wolfpack play under each referee

Every Wolfpack game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wolfpack are 105-91 (53.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-26 – 2026-03-18)

Wolfpack record: 105-91 (53.6%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (363) exceed 196 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

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Raymie Styons
+33.9 pts vs team-1.2
Justin Porterfield
+26.4 pts vs team-1.1
Mark Schnur
+19.1 pts vs team-2.8
Brian O'Connell
+17.8 pts vs team+1.1
Ted Valentine
+13.1 pts vs team+1.4
Clarence Armstrong
+11.4 pts vs team+0.9
Jamie Luckie
+8.9 pts vs team-0.2
Bill Covington Jr.
+7.9 pts vs team-1.0
Jemel Spearman
+3.5 pts vs team-0.4
Lee Cassell
+2.4 pts vs team+0.5
Pat Driscoll
+2.0 pts vs team+0.5
Tim Clougherty
+0.2 pts vs team-1.3
Bert Smith
-5.8 pts vs team+0.5
Tommy Morrissey
-6.5 pts vs team+0.7
Jerry Heater
-8.1 pts vs team-0.5
Tony Henderson
-10.1 pts vs team+0.5
Ron Groover
-11.7 pts vs team+0.6
Roger Ayers
-15.7 pts vs team+0.6
A.J. Desai
-20.3 pts vs team+1.3
John Gaffney
-20.3 pts vs team+2.7
Jeff Clark
-31.4 pts vs team+3.2

Tight-game proxy

How NC State Wolfpack compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.

Close games (≤5 pt margin)

46 of 196 games match this window

Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
146.5
Season avg
148.1
Pressure impact
-1.6
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
33.2
Season avg
33.3
Pressure impact
-0.1
Over rate
Tight-game avg
50.0%
Season avg
54.6%
Pressure impact
-4.6 pp

Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 196 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wolfpack games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Wolfpack went 105-91 (53.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Wolfpack.

Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.