Every Spartans game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Spartans are 134-68 (66.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-25 – 2026-03-28)
Spartans record: 134-68 (66.3%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (432) exceed 202 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Michigan State Spartans compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
49 of 202 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
138.1
Season avg
142
Pressure impact
-3.9
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
34.1
Season avg
34.7
Pressure impact
-0.6
Over rate
Tight-game avg
32.7%
Season avg
39.6%
Pressure impact
-6.9 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 202 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Spartans games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Spartans went 134-68 (66.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Spartans.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
68 of 202 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
138.8
Season avg
142
Pressure impact
-3.2
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
34.9
Season avg
34.7
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Toss-up avg
36.8%
Season avg
39.6%
Pressure impact
-2.8 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 202 total games in sample