Louisville Cardinals

How the Cardinals play under each referee

Every Cardinals game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Cardinals are 88-97 (47.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-25 – 2026-03-21)

Cardinals record: 88-97 (47.6%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (392) exceed 185 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

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Jeff Pon
+27.4 pts vs team-3.0
A.J. Desai
+23.8 pts vs team+0.0
Matt Potter
+19.1 pts vs team-0.7
Justin Porterfield
+12.4 pts vs team-0.5
Pat Driscoll
+10.7 pts vs team-0.3
Tony Henderson
+9.5 pts vs team-2.3
Lee Cassell
+6.2 pts vs team-1.5
Brent Hampton
+2.4 pts vs team-0.2
Jeff Clark
+2.4 pts vs team-1.7
Tim Clougherty
+2.4 pts vs team+2.1
Bill Covington Jr.
+0.2 pts vs team-0.2
Bert Smith
+0.0 pts vs team-0.3
Roger Ayers
-0.7 pts vs team-0.7
Ron Groover
-0.9 pts vs team+0.3
John Gaffney
-2.1 pts vs team-0.2
Jerry Heater
-4.7 pts vs team-0.7
Ted Valentine
-6.7 pts vs team-1.0
Tommy Morrissey
-6.7 pts vs team-0.5
Clarence Armstrong
-8.7 pts vs team-0.3
Mark Schnur
-10.1 pts vs team+1.9
Jamie Luckie
-19.0 pts vs team-0.9
Kipp Kissinger
-22.6 pts vs team-1.0
Doug Shows
-22.6 pts vs team-0.4
Raymie Styons
-22.6 pts vs team-1.5
Jeb Hartness
-25.4 pts vs team-1.7

Tight-game proxy

How Louisville Cardinals compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.

Close games (≤5 pt margin)

34 of 185 games match this window

Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
144.3
Season avg
145.4
Pressure impact
-1.1
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
34.8
Season avg
34.3
Pressure impact
+0.5
Over rate
Tight-game avg
47.1%
Season avg
48.1%
Pressure impact
-1.0 pp

Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 185 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Cardinals games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Cardinals went 88-97 (47.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Cardinals.

Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.