Every Cyclones game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Cyclones are 126-74 (63.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-29 – 2026-03-28)
Cyclones record: 126-74 (63.0%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (382) exceed 200 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Iowa State Cyclones compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
44 of 200 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
141.5
Season avg
138.9
Pressure impact
+2.6
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
37
Season avg
34.4
Pressure impact
+2.6
Over rate
Tight-game avg
43.2%
Season avg
34.5%
Pressure impact
+8.7 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 200 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Cyclones games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Cyclones went 126-74 (63.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Cyclones.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
50 of 200 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
134.7
Season avg
138.9
Pressure impact
-4.2
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
35.9
Season avg
34.4
Pressure impact
+1.5
Over rate
Toss-up avg
30.0%
Season avg
34.5%
Pressure impact
-4.5 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 200 total games in sample