Every Bearcats game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bearcats are 110-84 (56.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-12-02 – 2026-03-11)
Bearcats record: 110-84 (56.7%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (292) exceed 194 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Cincinnati Bearcats compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
55 of 194 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
138
Season avg
140.6
Pressure impact
-2.6
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
32.3
Season avg
31.8
Pressure impact
+0.5
Over rate
Tight-game avg
30.9%
Season avg
36.1%
Pressure impact
-5.2 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 194 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bearcats games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bearcats went 110-84 (56.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Bearcats.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
54 of 194 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
142.6
Season avg
140.6
Pressure impact
+2.0
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
32.6
Season avg
31.8
Pressure impact
+0.8
Over rate
Toss-up avg
42.6%
Season avg
36.1%
Pressure impact
+6.5 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 194 total games in sample