Every Bulldogs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bulldogs are 86-103 (45.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-25 – 2026-03-11)
Bulldogs record: 86-103 (45.5%)
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (430) exceed 189 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Butler Bulldogs compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
39 of 189 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
147.5
Season avg
142.8
Pressure impact
+4.7
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
32.6
Season avg
31.7
Pressure impact
+0.9
Over rate
Tight-game avg
46.2%
Season avg
40.2%
Pressure impact
+6.0 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 189 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bulldogs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bulldogs went 86-103 (45.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Bulldogs.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
51 of 189 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
138.9
Season avg
142.8
Pressure impact
-3.9
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
32
Season avg
31.7
Pressure impact
+0.3
Over rate
Toss-up avg
27.5%
Season avg
40.2%
Pressure impact
-12.7 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 189 total games in sample