Baylor Bears

How the Bears play under each referee

Every Bears game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bears are 137-62 (68.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-29 – 2026-04-04)

Bears record: 137-62 (68.8%)

Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (440) exceed 199 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.

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Chris Rastatter
+31.2 pts vs team+0.6
Gerry Pollard
+25.6 pts vs team-1.7
Gary Maxwell
+25.0 pts vs team-0.2
Jeb Hartness
+22.9 pts vs team-3.7
Antinio Petty
+22.1 pts vs team-2.7
Terry Oglesby
+13.0 pts vs team-3.3
Michael Greenstein
+11.2 pts vs team-0.9
Chris Pacsi
+11.2 pts vs team-1.8
Marques Pettigrew
+5.1 pts vs team-1.8
Amy Bonner
+3.9 pts vs team-3.8
Keith Kimble
+1.2 pts vs team+0.3
Rick Crawford
+0.0 pts vs team-1.1
Doug Sirmons
-0.4 pts vs team-1.4
Darron George
-2.1 pts vs team-3.1
Randy McCall
-2.1 pts vs team-0.3
Ron Groover
-2.1 pts vs team-1.1
Tony Padilla
-3.6 pts vs team-0.7
Chance Moore
-5.6 pts vs team+0.0
John Higgins
-8.8 pts vs team+1.1
Roger Ayers
-8.8 pts vs team+0.7
Kipp Kissinger
-10.3 pts vs team-0.8
Bert Smith
-10.5 pts vs team+2.2
Bret Smith
-12.3 pts vs team-1.8
Brooks Wells
-18.8 pts vs team-0.3
Ray Natili
-21.4 pts vs team+0.1
James Breeding
-24.4 pts vs team+1.0

Tight-game proxy

How Baylor Bears compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.

Close games (≤5 pt margin)

40 of 199 games match this window

Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
151.1
Season avg
148.8
Pressure impact
+2.3
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
35
Season avg
34.1
Pressure impact
+0.9
Over rate
Tight-game avg
52.5%
Season avg
54.3%
Pressure impact
-1.8 pp

Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 199 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bears games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bears went 137-62 (68.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Bears.

Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.