Every Crimson Tide game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Crimson Tide are 153-58 (72.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Don Daily has the most Crimson Tide games in this sample (37).
Officials with enough games overlap across crews; combined team-official games (484) exceed 211 unique team matches. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Alabama Crimson Tide compares in tight final-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores, not last-two-minute reports.
Close games (≤5 pt margin)
50 of 211 games match this window
Avg combined points
Tight-game avg
163
Season avg
162.3
Pressure impact
+0.7
Avg fouls
Tight-game avg
39.4
Season avg
38.3
Pressure impact
+1.1
Over rate
Tight-game avg
76.0%
Season avg
79.1%
Pressure impact
-3.1 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 211 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Crimson Tide games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Crimson Tide went 153-58 (72.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than the Crimson Tide.
Scores, fouls, and referee crews from ESPN (9885 games across 80 tracked programs, 6047 with sportsbook totals). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. Matrix: 4078/8349 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 69 games skipped (no officials listed). 0 games skipped (outside live conference gate). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
52 of 211 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
156.7
Season avg
162.3
Pressure impact
-5.6
Avg fouls
Toss-up avg
39.3
Season avg
38.3
Pressure impact
+1.0
Over rate
Toss-up avg
71.2%
Season avg
79.1%
Pressure impact
-7.9 pp
Over benchmark: 145.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 211 total games in sample