Every Fiorentina game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample Fiorentina are 64-53 (54.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Fiorentina compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
118 of 158 games match this window
Avg combined goals
Close-match avg
2.4
Season avg
2.6
Pressure impact
-0.2
Avg cards
Close-match avg
26.2
Season avg
26.1
Pressure impact
+0.1
Over rate
Close-match avg
47.5%
Season avg
51.9%
Pressure impact
-4.4 pp
Over benchmark: 2.4 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 158 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Fiorentina games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: Fiorentina went 64-53 (54.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than Fiorentina.
Scores, fouls, cards, and referee assignments from ESPN (1569 games, 197 with sportsbook totals). Referee coverage only where ESPN lists gameInfo.officials (2021-22 onward); games without referee names are excluded entirely. football-data.co.uk I1 CSVs lack a Referee column and are not used. Matrix: 490/962 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 331 games skipped (no official listed).
