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Evgeny Romasko leans unders vs closing goal totals
This page documents a NHL officiating research finding. Totals go unders 25. The analysis uses 2,026 games (Strong confidence). Expect descriptive historical stats with methodology links, not predictions or betting advice.
Interpretation: O/U ATS uses estimated closing totals where sportsbook data is unavailable. Min 30 decisive games required.
Totals go unders 25.0% (9-22-5) across 31 lined games.
- O/U ATS
- 9-22-5
- 25.0%
- Sample
- 31
- Min 30 games
- Edge vs 50%
- 21.0 pts
- Leans unders
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →