NHL ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Dave Jackson pushes 13.8% of games to OT/SO
Dave Jackson reaches overtime or shootout 13.8% of the time (9 of 65 games), 11.0 pts below the 24.8% league rate.
Rule and category
ref outlier
OT/SO rate shows how often games need extra time under this official. Descriptive pace context, not a prediction for tonight's slate.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- OT/SO rate: 13.8% (9 OT/SO games)
- League OT rate: 24.8% (Pool baseline)
- Avg combined goals: 6.1 (+0.0 vs league)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 65 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other NHL findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- OT/SO rate
- 13.8%
- 9 OT/SO games
- League OT rate
- 24.8%
- Pool baseline
- Avg combined goals
- 6.1
- +0.0 vs league
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →