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Riley Brace: ATS Cover Lean (57.1%)
This page documents a NHL officiating research finding. 20-14-1 across 34 lined games, 8. The analysis uses 2,026 games (Strong confidence). Expect descriptive historical stats with methodology links, not predictions or betting advice.
20-14-1 across 34 lined games, 8.8 pts from a neutral 50% split.
- Home ATS
- 20-14-1
- 57.1%
- Sample
- 34
- Min 30 games
- Edge vs 50%
- 8.8 pts
- Absolute deviation
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →