59 games analyzed over 3 seasonsUpdated Sep 30, 2026, 12:23 a.m.Compare
NHL official profile
Mike Sullivan
59 games analyzed over 3 seasons
Official · NHL
Goals vs average
6.3
+0.2 vs league average
59 games
Minors vs average
7.6
-1.3 vs league average
59 games
Over rate
42.4%
League baseline 6.3
59 games
Team effects versus baseline
Team performance comparisons are withheld until same-window team baselines clear sample gates. Raw records alone can overstate the official's relationship with strong or weak teams.
Historical environment
Scoring, whistle, and stability context from this official's verified sample versus league averages. Descriptive history only. Window: 2021-2026.
League comparison
Combined score
Official 6.3·Baseline 6.3·+0.0 vs leagueper game
Minor penalties-1.0 vs league
Baseline 8.6·Official 7.6·per game · below baseline
Fewer minors than the nhl referee baseline (-1.0 per game).
Over-benchmark rate withheld unless verified closing-line provenance is available for this league.
Whistle detail
Whistle profile
Whistle volume, penalty disposition, and high-leverage game-state tendencies.
Average two-minute minor penalties assessed in this referee’s games (both teams combined). More accurate than raw PIM for whistle tightness.
7.6
-0.8 vs 8.3 league
Share of this referee’s games that reached overtime or a shootout. League average is roughly 23%.
28.8%
17 OT/SO · league 24.8%
How evenly minors are split between teams. A “balancer” ref often finishes within one minor of even; descriptive only, not a live makeup-call predictor.
balancer
64.4% within ±1 minor · avg gap 1.2
Tends to finish with even minor-penalty counts between teams.
Data confidence: High1180 high-leverage minMinimum: 50 min
Stability
Sample size
59 games
Seasons on file
2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26
Win/loss and line history
Straight-up and line-linked outcome history when provenance allows. Not a recommendation.
Historical outcome splits
Games59
Avg home score3.1
Avg road score3.2
-0.1
Straight-up home team record when this official works the game.
Straight-up wins and losses for the home team in games this ref worked; who won, ignoring the spread.
31-28
52.5% home win rate
N=59 games · NHL sample
Related officials
Explore officials who frequently work with this official or show similar historical officiating patterns.
Officials with similar historical profiles
Similarity is descriptive and based on available historical metrics. It does not imply identical decision-making.
43.9% over · -1.8 whistlesimilar over rate · similar whistle tendency
Pre-Game Context
Refficacy Dimensions
Referee Efficacy Radar
59 games · 0-100 index where 50 marks league norm. Higher is not automatically better.
This officialLeague norm (50)
Scoring pace51 index
50
Combined scoring in this crew's games versus league average.
Home-side split37 index
50
Home versus away whistle or cover patterns in this crew's sample.
4 metrics excluded due to insufficient event data
How to read this profile
Against the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover. and Did both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off? tables use The spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark. per game. ATS/O-U results are shown only where external closing-line data is available. Team PIM splits live on team pages. Tonight's assignment signals are on the NHL home page.
Scores, PIM, and crews from NHL API. ATS/O-U from synthetic closing lines derived from final scores (12282/12282 games). Descriptive only, not market odds. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.