11-19
NFL official stats and assignments
NFL official
NFL
High game-to-game volatility
Historically associated with near-average scoring, near-average flags volume, reduced late-game whistle frequency.
Typical historical game environment associated with this official. Descriptive history only.
Near-average scoring environment
High evidence
Combined points sit close to the league average (46.8).
League average 45.2 combined points
Near-average flags volume
High evidence
Flags volume tracks the league baseline (11.7, -0.2).
League average 11.9 flags
Fewer late-game whistles
High evidence
In close finishes, whistle rate historically drops versus earlier periods after intentional-foul filtering.
Late-game profile: Swallows Whistle
High game-to-game volatility
High evidence
Consistency score 4/10 on whistle volume across the scouting sample window.
Descriptive stability of whistle volume, not a market forecast
Multi-season sample on file
High evidence
Profile spans 2 seasons in this dataset (2023-24–2024-25).
Scoring, whistle, and stability context from this official's verified sample versus league averages. Descriptive history only. Window: 2021-2026.
Whistle volume, penalty disposition, and high-leverage game-state tendencies.
48
Near-average flag-call profile
Official James Carter II profiles as a game-flow (high subjective ratio) over the last 30 games. Whistle volume stays relatively stable in high-stakes settings.
Straight-up home team record when this official works the game.
11-19
N=30 games · NFL sample
Late-game whistle tendency versus earlier periods. Zero on the scale is the neutral / no-shift anchor for this official (same whistle rate late as earlier), not a league average and not a betting recommendation.
Team performance comparisons are withheld until same-window team baselines clear sample gates. Raw records alone can overstate the official's relationship with strong or weak teams.
Season timeline of archetype and late-game sensitivity, with detailed metrics below.
| Season | Style bucket derived from procedural vs. subjective foul mix and game-flow impact. Helps frame whether this ref tends to let play breathe or enforce structure. | Foul Ratio | How much an official's whistle rate shifts in close, late-game situations compared with the rest of the game. Positive values suggest they tighten up under pressure. | 1-10 rating of how predictable this official's whistle volume is game to game. Higher scores mean steadier pacing; lower scores flag more volatile totals markets. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Insufficient data (0 games, fewer than 10 required) | |||
| 2023-24 | Insufficient data (0 games, fewer than 10 required) | |||
Explore officials who frequently work with this official or show similar historical officiating patterns.
Officials who have appeared on the same crew most often in the available dataset.
Similarity is descriptive and based on available historical metrics. It does not imply identical decision-making.
Pre-Game Context
Refficacy Dimensions
This officialLeague norm (50)
How often this crew whistles during opponent scoring runs.
Combined scoring in this crew's games versus league average.
Contact and administrative whistle share relative to league norms.
Home versus away whistle or cover patterns in this crew's sample.
2 metrics excluded due to insufficient event data
Quick compare
Against the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover. and Did both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off? tables use The spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark. per game. Where sportsbook closing lines are unavailable, ATS/O/U splits use estimated lines. Team penalty splits live on team pages. Tonight's assignment signals are on the NFL home page.
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2761 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4604/5940 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.