Every Real Madrid game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample Real Madrid are 107-26-21 (69.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
César Soto Grado has the most Real Madrid games in this sample (16).
Qualified refs in this table account for 100 of 154 team matches (65%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Real Madrid compares in one-goal matches vs the full sample. Based on verified match results.
Close games (≤1 goal margin)
83 of 154 games match this window
Avg combined goals
Close-match avg
2.5
Season avg
3
Pressure impact
-0.5
Avg cards
Close-match avg
23.6
Season avg
23
Pressure impact
+0.6
Over rate
Close-match avg
16.9%
Season avg
31.8%
Pressure impact
-14.9 pp
Over benchmark: 3 combined goals · Seasons: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 154 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Real Madrid games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: Real Madrid went 107-26-21 (69.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: who gets called more. A positive number means opponents are whistled more often than Real Madrid.
Scores, fouls, cards, and referee assignments from ESPN (1551 games, 183 with sportsbook totals). Referee coverage only where ESPN lists gameInfo.officials (2021-22 onward); games without referee names are excluded entirely. football-data.co.uk SP1 CSVs lack a Referee column and are not used. Matrix: 473/640 ref×team pairs with 3+ games. 349 games skipped (no official listed). Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.