Every Huskies game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Huskies are 47-36 (56.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
How Washington Huskies compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
33 of 83 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
50
Season avg
54.5
Pressure impact
-4.5
Avg flags
Close-game avg
12.7
Season avg
11.9
Pressure impact
+0.8
Over rate
Close-game avg
30.3%
Season avg
44.6%
Pressure impact
-14.3 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 83 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
10 of 83 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Huskies games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Huskies went 47-36 (56.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Huskies.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
53.3
Season avg
54.5
Pressure impact
-1.2
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
10.5
Season avg
11.9
Pressure impact
-1.4
Over rate
Toss-up avg
30.0%
Season avg
44.6%
Pressure impact
-14.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 83 total games in sample