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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

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Virginia Cavaliers

How the Cavaliers play under each referee

Every Cavaliers game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Cavaliers are 5-9 (35.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-10-04 – 2025-10-04)

Cavaliers record: 5-9 (35.7%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Virginia Cavaliers compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

7 of 14 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
51.7
Season avg
61.8
Pressure impact
-10.1
Avg flags
Close-game avg
12.6
Season avg
11.5
Pressure impact
+1.1
Over rate
Close-game avg
42.9%
Season avg
57.1%
Pressure impact
-14.2 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 14 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

5 of 14 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Cavaliers games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Cavaliers went 5-9 (35.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Cavaliers.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
63.4
Season avg
61.8
Pressure impact
+1.6
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.4
Season avg
11.5
Pressure impact
+0.9
Over rate
Toss-up avg
60.0%
Season avg
57.1%
Pressure impact
+2.9 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 14 total games in sample