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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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USC Trojans

How the Trojans play under each referee

Every Trojans game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Trojans are 44-24 (64.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-07 – 2025-12-31)

Trojans record: 44-24 (64.7%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How USC Trojans compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

27 of 68 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
63.8
Season avg
64.1
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.2
Season avg
12.8
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
63.0%
Season avg
66.2%
Pressure impact
-3.2 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 68 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

13 of 68 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Trojans games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Trojans went 44-24 (64.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Trojans.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
67.7
Season avg
64.1
Pressure impact
+3.6
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.3
Season avg
12.8
Pressure impact
-0.5
Over rate
Toss-up avg
69.2%
Season avg
66.2%
Pressure impact
+3.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 68 total games in sample