Every Wildcats game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wildcats are 10-22 (31.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2025-11-29)
Wildcats record: 10-22 (31.3%)
No data available for this range
Close-game proxy
How Kentucky Wildcats compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
8 of 32 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
48.6
Season avg
49.5
Pressure impact
-0.9
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11
Season avg
10.3
Pressure impact
+0.7
Over rate
Close-game avg
50.0%
Season avg
34.4%
Pressure impact
+15.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 32 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
5 of 32 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wildcats games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Wildcats went 10-22 (31.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Wildcats.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
60.6
Season avg
49.5
Pressure impact
+11.1
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
11.2
Season avg
10.3
Pressure impact
+0.9
Over rate
Toss-up avg
60.0%
Season avg
34.4%
Pressure impact
+25.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 32 total games in sample